Blue Bird Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index
| BLBD Stock | USD 55.54 5.85 11.77% |
Blue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Blue Bird stock prices and determine the direction of Blue Bird Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Blue Bird's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Blue Bird's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.518 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7925 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.282 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.7994 | Wall Street Target Price 63.75 |
Using Blue Bird hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Bird Corp from the perspective of Blue Bird response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blue Bird using Blue Bird's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blue using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blue Bird's stock price.
Blue Bird Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Blue Bird's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Blue. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Blue Bird stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 48.5525 | Short Percent 0.1941 | Short Ratio 13.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.3 M | 50 Day MA 50.2544 |
Blue Relative Strength Index
Blue Bird Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blue Bird's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blue. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blue can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blue Bird Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blue Bird's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blue Bird.
Blue Bird Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Blue Bird's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blue Bird Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blue Bird's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blue Bird stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blue Bird's options are near their expiration.
Blue Bird after-hype prediction price | USD 54.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Bird to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Blue contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Blue Bird Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Blue Bird trading at USD 55.54, that is roughly USD 0.0174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Blue Bird's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Blue Bird Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Blue Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Blue Bird's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Blue Bird's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Blue Bird stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Blue Bird's open interest, investors have to compare it to Blue Bird's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Blue Bird is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Blue. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Blue Bird Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Blue Bird Volatility | Backtest Blue Bird | Information Ratio |
Blue Bird Trading Date Momentum
| On February 05 2026 Blue Bird Corp was traded for 55.54 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 57.13 and the lowest listed price was 49.69 . The trading volume for the day was 1.3 M. The trading history from February 5, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 10.53% . |
| Compare Blue Bird to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Blue Bird
For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Bird's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Bird's price trends.Blue Bird Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Bird stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Bird could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Bird by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blue Bird Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Bird stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Bird shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Bird stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Bird Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 175330.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7863 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.12 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 54.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.85 |
Blue Bird Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blue Bird's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Bird's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blue Bird
The number of cover stories for Blue Bird depends on current market conditions and Blue Bird's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Bird is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Bird's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Blue Bird Short Properties
Blue Bird's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blue Bird's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blue Bird Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blue Bird's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Bird's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 229.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Bird to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Will Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Blue diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. Projected growth potential of Blue fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Blue Bird data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.518 | Earnings Share 3.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.169 | Return On Assets |
Blue Bird Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Blue's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Blue Bird's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Blue Bird's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Blue Bird's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Blue Bird should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.