Is Blue Bird Stock a Good Investment?
Blue Bird Investment Advice | BLBD |
- Examine Blue Bird's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Blue Bird's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Blue Bird navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space and any emerging trends that could impact Blue Bird's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Blue Bird's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Blue Bird is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Blue Bird pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Blue Bird's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Blue Bird Corp stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Blue Bird Corp is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Blue Bird Stock
Researching Blue Bird's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Blue Bird Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the October 4, 2010.
To determine if Blue Bird is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Blue Bird's research are outlined below:
| Blue Bird Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Blue Bird Corp Q4 2024 Earnings Report Preview What To Look For |
Blue Bird Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity |
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Blue Bird uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Blue Bird Corp. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Blue Bird's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 9th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 9th of December 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Blue Bird's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Blue Bird's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021-05-12 | 2021-03-31 | 0.08 | 0.05 | -0.03 | 37 | ||
2022-08-10 | 2022-06-30 | -0.05 | -0.09 | -0.04 | 80 | ||
2017-02-09 | 2016-12-31 | -0.09 | -0.13 | -0.04 | 44 | ||
2020-02-12 | 2019-12-31 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 250 | ||
2018-05-10 | 2018-03-31 | 0.2 | 0.15 | -0.05 | 25 | ||
2020-08-12 | 2020-06-30 | 0.22 | 0.16 | -0.06 | 27 | ||
2017-05-11 | 2017-03-31 | 0.15 | 0.08 | -0.07 | 46 | ||
2016-12-13 | 2016-09-30 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.07 | 16 |
Know Blue Bird's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Blue Bird is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Bird Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Blue Bird's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Blue Bird's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 669.1 K | Deroy & Devereaux Private Invmt Coun Inc | 2024-09-30 | 635.9 K | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 503.1 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 498.8 K | Neumeier Investment Counsel Llc | 2024-09-30 | 485.4 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 482.1 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 443.8 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 423.6 K | Intrinsic Edge Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 413.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M |
Blue Bird's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.33 B.Market Cap |
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Blue Bird's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (155.24) | (147.48) | |
| Return On Assets | (11.08) | (10.53) | |
| Return On Equity | (154.28) | (146.57) |
Determining Blue Bird's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Blue Bird is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Blue Bird's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Blue Bird's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Blue Bird's Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Please note, the presentation of Blue Bird's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Blue Bird's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Blue Bird's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Blue Bird's management efficiency
Blue Bird Corp has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.2078 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.2078 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 1.3471 %, meaning that it created $1.3471 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Blue Bird's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Blue Bird manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Return On Capital Employed is projected to grow to (147.48). At present, Blue Bird's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 45 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 175.4 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (23.82) | (22.63) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (5.95) | (5.65) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.3 K | 1.4 K | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (5.95) | (5.65) | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.3 K | 1.4 K | |
| Enterprise Value | 665.9 M | 386.7 M |
Blue Bird's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Beta 1.619 |
Basic technical analysis of Blue Stock
As of the 26th of November, Blue Bird shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), mean deviation of 2.28, and Standard Deviation of 2.97. Blue Bird Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Blue Bird Corp coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the variance and value at risk to decide if Blue Bird Corp is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 42.83 per share. Given that Blue Bird has information ratio of (0.09), we suggest you to validate Blue Bird Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Blue Bird's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Blue Bird insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Blue Bird's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Blue Bird insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Blue Bird's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Blue Bird issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Blue Bird Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Blue bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Blue Bird Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View |
Understand Blue Bird's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Blue Bird's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,114) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.62) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.38 | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.04) |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,114) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.62) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.38 | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.04) |
Consider Blue Bird's intraday indicators
Blue Bird intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Blue Bird stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Blue Bird Corporate Filings
| 15th of November 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
13A | 14th of November 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | ViewVerify |
13A | 8th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
8K | 28th of October 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Blue Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Blue Bird that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Blue media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Blue internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Blue data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Blue Bird news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Blue Bird relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Blue Bird's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Blue Bird alpha.
Blue Bird Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Blue Bird can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Blue Bird Corporate Management
| Ted Scartz | General VP | Profile | |
| Vijay Boova | Senior Quality | Profile | |
| Jolene Paver | Senior Officer | Profile | |
| David Bercik | VP Marketing | Profile | |
| Tim Gordon | Senior Marketing | Profile | |
| Razvan Radulescu | Principal CFO | Profile |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.931 | Earnings Share 3.01 | Revenue Per Share 40.348 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.133 | Return On Assets 0.2078 |
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Blue Bird's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.