Belite Bio Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BLTE Stock | USD 155.11 5.50 3.68% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Belite Bio ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 153.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 251.59. Belite Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Belite Bio stock prices and determine the direction of Belite Bio ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Belite Bio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The RSI of Belite Bio's stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Belite, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.49) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.86) | Wall Street Target Price 185.2857 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.49) |
Using Belite Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Belite Bio ADR from the perspective of Belite Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Belite Bio ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Belite Bio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Belite. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Belite can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Belite Bio ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Belite Bio's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Belite Bio.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Belite Bio ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 153.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 251.59. Belite Bio after-hype prediction price | USD 155.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Belite Bio to cross-verify your projections. Belite Bio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Belite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Belite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Belite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Belite Bio Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Belite Bio's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 36.4 M | Current Value 45.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 16 M |
Belite Bio Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Belite Bio ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 153.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.12, mean absolute percentage error of 30.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 251.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Belite Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Belite Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Belite Bio Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Belite Bio | Belite Bio Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Belite Bio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Belite Bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Belite Bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 149.22 and 157.52, respectively. We have considered Belite Bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Belite Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Belite Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5435 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.1244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0314 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 251.5884 |
Predictive Modules for Belite Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Belite Bio ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Belite Bio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Belite Bio
For every potential investor in Belite, whether a beginner or expert, Belite Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Belite Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Belite. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Belite Bio's price trends.Belite Bio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Belite Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Belite Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Belite Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Belite Bio ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Belite Bio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Belite Bio's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Belite Bio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Belite Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Belite Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Belite Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Belite Bio ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Belite Bio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Belite Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Belite Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting belite stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.18 | |||
| Variance | 17.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Belite Bio ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Belite Bio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Belite Bio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Belite Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Belite Bio to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Belite Bio. If investors know Belite will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Belite Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Belite Bio ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Belite that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Belite Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Belite Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Belite Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Belite Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Belite Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Belite Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Belite Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.