Backblaze Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BLZE Stock | USD 3.87 0.19 4.68% |
Backblaze Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Backblaze stock prices and determine the direction of Backblaze's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Backblaze's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Backblaze's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0086 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0347 | Wall Street Target Price 10.0571 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) |
Using Backblaze hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Backblaze from the perspective of Backblaze response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Backblaze using Backblaze's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Backblaze using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Backblaze's stock price.
Backblaze Implied Volatility | 1.25 |
Backblaze's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Backblaze stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Backblaze's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Backblaze stock will not fluctuate a lot when Backblaze's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Backblaze on the next trading day is expected to be 4.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.61. Backblaze after-hype prediction price | USD 4.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Backblaze | Build AI portfolio with Backblaze Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Backblaze contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Backblaze will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0781% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Backblaze trading at USD 3.87, that is roughly USD 0.003023 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Backblaze's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Backblaze options at the current volatility level of 1.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Backblaze Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Backblaze's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Backblaze's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Backblaze stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Backblaze's open interest, investors have to compare it to Backblaze's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Backblaze is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Backblaze. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Backblaze Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Backblaze price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Backblaze using various technical indicators. When you analyze Backblaze charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Backblaze Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Backblaze on the next trading day is expected to be 4.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Backblaze Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Backblaze's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Backblaze Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Backblaze | Backblaze Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Backblaze Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Backblaze's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Backblaze's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.86 and 7.26, respectively. We have considered Backblaze's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Backblaze stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Backblaze stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6131 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2396 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0521 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.6141 |
Predictive Modules for Backblaze
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Backblaze. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Backblaze After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Backblaze at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Backblaze or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Backblaze, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Backblaze Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Backblaze's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Backblaze's historical news coverage. Backblaze's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.36 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Backblaze's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Backblaze is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Backblaze is based on 3 months time horizon.
Backblaze Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Backblaze is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Backblaze backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Backblaze, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.70 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 4 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.87 | 4.06 | 0.00 |
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Backblaze Hype Timeline
Backblaze is currently traded for 3.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.15. Backblaze is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Backblaze is about 625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.72. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Backblaze was currently reported as 1.44. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.66. Backblaze had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Backblaze to cross-verify your projections.Backblaze Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Backblaze's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Backblaze's future price movements. Getting to know how Backblaze's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Backblaze may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | (2.54) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.88 | (9.81) | 25.62 | |
| SPT | Sprout Social | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.85 | (6.55) | 15.22 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.56 | (5.06) | 15.92 | |
| PRTH | Priority Technology Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.63 | (5.03) | 34.79 | |
| CINT | CiT Inc | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.82 | 0.03 | 5.51 | (5.14) | 12.99 | |
| NBP | NovaBridge Biosciences | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.81 | (7.14) | 18.50 | |
| DOMO | Domo Inc | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 5.81 | (8.37) | 28.62 | |
| DAVA | Endava | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.08 | (5.86) | 31.38 | |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.21 | (5.15) | 21.77 | |
| POET | POET Technologies | (0.16) | 8 per month | 5.92 | 0.01 | 13.11 | (8.62) | 45.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Backblaze
For every potential investor in Backblaze, whether a beginner or expert, Backblaze's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Backblaze Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Backblaze. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Backblaze's price trends.Backblaze Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Backblaze stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Backblaze could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Backblaze by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Backblaze Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Backblaze stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Backblaze shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Backblaze stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Backblaze entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.1) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) |
Backblaze Risk Indicators
The analysis of Backblaze's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Backblaze's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting backblaze stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Variance | 24.6 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Backblaze
The number of cover stories for Backblaze depends on current market conditions and Backblaze's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Backblaze is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Backblaze's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Backblaze Short Properties
Backblaze's future price predictability will typically decrease when Backblaze's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Backblaze often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Backblaze's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Backblaze's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Backblaze to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Backblaze Stock refer to our How to Trade Backblaze Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Backblaze diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Backblaze. Projected growth potential of Backblaze fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Backblaze data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.66) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Backblaze is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Backblaze that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Backblaze's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Backblaze's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Backblaze's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Backblaze's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Backblaze's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Backblaze should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Backblaze's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.