Bumble Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BMBL Stock | USD 8.18 0.27 3.41% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bumble Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 8.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.34. Bumble Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Bumble's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bumble's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bumble fundamentals over time.
Bumble |
Bumble Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bumble Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 8.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bumble Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bumble's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bumble Stock Forecast Pattern
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Bumble Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bumble's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bumble's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.58 and 10.84, respectively. We have considered Bumble's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bumble stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bumble stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0251 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1583 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0224 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.3425 |
Predictive Modules for Bumble
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bumble Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bumble
For every potential investor in Bumble, whether a beginner or expert, Bumble's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bumble Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bumble. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bumble's price trends.View Bumble Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bumble Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bumble's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bumble's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Bumble Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bumble stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bumble shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bumble stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bumble Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73176.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5745 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.29 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.27 |
Bumble Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bumble's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bumble's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bumble stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Variance | 6.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bumble. If investors know Bumble will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bumble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.418 | Earnings Share (4.72) | Revenue Per Share 8.512 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0248 |
The market value of Bumble Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bumble that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bumble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bumble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bumble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bumble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bumble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bumble is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bumble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.