Broadstone Net Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| BNL Stock | USD 18.42 0.27 1.44% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Broadstone Net Lease on the next trading day is expected to be 18.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.63. Broadstone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Broadstone Net's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Broadstone Net's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Broadstone Net fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Broadstone Net's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Broadstone Net, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.169 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5812 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7066 | Wall Street Target Price 20.1818 |
Using Broadstone Net hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Broadstone Net Lease from the perspective of Broadstone Net response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Broadstone Net using Broadstone Net's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Broadstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Broadstone Net's stock price.
Broadstone Net Short Interest
An investor who is long Broadstone Net may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Broadstone Net and may potentially protect profits, hedge Broadstone Net with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.1483 | Short Percent 0.0273 | Short Ratio 2.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 17.8332 |
Broadstone Net Lease Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Broadstone Net's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Broadstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Broadstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Broadstone Net Lease. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Broadstone Net Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Broadstone Net's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Broadstone Net Lease stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Broadstone Net's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Broadstone Net stock will not fluctuate a lot when Broadstone Net's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Broadstone Net Lease on the next trading day is expected to be 18.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.63. Broadstone Net after-hype prediction price | USD 18.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Broadstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Broadstone Net Lease will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Broadstone Net trading at USD 18.42, that is roughly USD 0.008404 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Broadstone Net's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Broadstone Net Lease options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Broadstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Broadstone Net's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Broadstone Net's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Broadstone Net stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Broadstone Net's open interest, investors have to compare it to Broadstone Net's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Broadstone Net is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Broadstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Broadstone Net Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Broadstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Broadstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Broadstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Broadstone Net Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Broadstone Net Lease on the next trading day is expected to be 18.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Broadstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Broadstone Net's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Broadstone Net Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Broadstone Net | Broadstone Net Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Broadstone Net Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Broadstone Net's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Broadstone Net's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.44 and 19.67, respectively. We have considered Broadstone Net's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Broadstone Net stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Broadstone Net stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.521 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0014 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.63 |
Predictive Modules for Broadstone Net
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Broadstone Net Lease. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Broadstone Net After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Broadstone Net at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Broadstone Net or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Broadstone Net, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Broadstone Net Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Broadstone Net's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Broadstone Net's historical news coverage. Broadstone Net's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.30 and 19.54, respectively. We have considered Broadstone Net's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Broadstone Net is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Broadstone Net Lease is based on 3 months time horizon.
Broadstone Net Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Broadstone Net is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Broadstone Net backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Broadstone Net, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.42 | 18.42 | 0.00 |
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Broadstone Net Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Broadstone Net Lease is traded for 18.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Broadstone is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Broadstone Net is about 705.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.42. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Broadstone Net Lease last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadstone Net to cross-verify your projections.Broadstone Net Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Broadstone Net's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Broadstone Net's future price movements. Getting to know how Broadstone Net's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Broadstone Net may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JOE | St Joe Company | (0.08) | 6 per month | 1.00 | 0.14 | 3.43 | (2.26) | 14.34 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 0.98 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.88 | (2.94) | 9.20 | |
| PSA | Public Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.27 | (2.17) | 6.57 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.30) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.67 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.96 | (1.82) | 5.57 | |
| GRP-UN | Granite Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.65 | 0.04 | 2.81 | (2.08) | 30.14 | |
| RYN | Rayonier | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | (0.01) | 3.60 | (2.60) | 8.02 | |
| NHI | National Health Investors | 0.67 | 9 per month | 1.05 | (0.01) | 1.87 | (1.82) | 4.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Broadstone Net
For every potential investor in Broadstone, whether a beginner or expert, Broadstone Net's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Broadstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Broadstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Broadstone Net's price trends.Broadstone Net Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Broadstone Net stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Broadstone Net could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Broadstone Net by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Broadstone Net Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Broadstone Net stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Broadstone Net shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Broadstone Net stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Broadstone Net Lease entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18465.05 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.73) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.54 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.32) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.33 |
Broadstone Net Risk Indicators
The analysis of Broadstone Net's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Broadstone Net's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting broadstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8018 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Broadstone Net
The number of cover stories for Broadstone Net depends on current market conditions and Broadstone Net's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Broadstone Net is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Broadstone Net's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Broadstone Net Short Properties
Broadstone Net's future price predictability will typically decrease when Broadstone Net's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Broadstone Net Lease often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Broadstone Net's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Broadstone Net's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 196.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadstone Net to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Broadstone Net. If investors know Broadstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Broadstone Net listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | Dividend Share 1.16 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
The market value of Broadstone Net Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Broadstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Broadstone Net's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Broadstone Net's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Broadstone Net's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Broadstone Net's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Broadstone Net's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Broadstone Net is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Broadstone Net's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.