Brookfield Wealth Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BNT Stock   47.60  0.02  0.04%   
Brookfield Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Brookfield Wealth's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brookfield Wealth's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brookfield Wealth Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brookfield Wealth's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.401
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Brookfield Wealth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookfield Wealth Solutions from the perspective of Brookfield Wealth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brookfield Wealth using Brookfield Wealth's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brookfield using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brookfield Wealth's stock price.

Brookfield Wealth Short Interest

An investor who is long Brookfield Wealth may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brookfield Wealth and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brookfield Wealth with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
43.8388
Short Percent
0.0115
Short Ratio
28.97
Shares Short Prior Month
366.8 K
50 Day MA
46.5938

Brookfield Relative Strength Index

The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookfield Wealth Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 47.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.53.

Brookfield Wealth Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Brookfield Wealth's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brookfield. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brookfield can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brookfield Wealth Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brookfield Wealth's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brookfield Wealth.

Brookfield Wealth Implied Volatility

    
  0.57  
Brookfield Wealth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brookfield Wealth Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brookfield Wealth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brookfield Wealth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brookfield Wealth's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookfield Wealth Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 47.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.53.

Brookfield Wealth after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 47.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookfield Wealth to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brookfield contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brookfield Wealth Solutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Brookfield Wealth trading at USD 47.6, that is roughly USD 0.017 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brookfield Wealth's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brookfield Wealth Solutions options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Brookfield Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brookfield Wealth's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brookfield Wealth's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brookfield Wealth stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brookfield Wealth's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brookfield Wealth's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brookfield Wealth is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brookfield. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Brookfield Wealth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brookfield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookfield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookfield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Brookfield Wealth - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Brookfield Wealth prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Brookfield Wealth price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Brookfield Wealth.

Brookfield Wealth Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookfield Wealth Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 47.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brookfield Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brookfield Wealth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brookfield Wealth Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Brookfield Wealth  Brookfield Wealth Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Brookfield Wealth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Brookfield Wealth's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brookfield Wealth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.93 and 49.47, respectively. We have considered Brookfield Wealth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
47.60
47.70
Expected Value
49.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brookfield Wealth stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brookfield Wealth stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1177
MADMean absolute deviation0.6421
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0138
SAESum of the absolute errors38.5254
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Brookfield Wealth observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Brookfield Wealth Solutions observations.

Predictive Modules for Brookfield Wealth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookfield Wealth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.7647.5349.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.0846.8548.62
Details

Brookfield Wealth After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Brookfield Wealth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookfield Wealth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookfield Wealth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Brookfield Wealth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Brookfield Wealth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookfield Wealth's historical news coverage. Brookfield Wealth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.76 and 49.30, respectively. We have considered Brookfield Wealth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
47.60
47.53
After-hype Price
49.30
Upside
Brookfield Wealth is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookfield Wealth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Brookfield Wealth Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookfield Wealth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookfield Wealth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookfield Wealth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.77
  0.07 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.60
47.53
0.15 
505.71  
Notes

Brookfield Wealth Hype Timeline

On the 14th of February 2026 Brookfield Wealth is traded for 47.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Brookfield is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 47.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Brookfield Wealth is about 11062.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.60. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Brookfield Wealth last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2026. The entity had 3:2 split on the 10th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookfield Wealth to cross-verify your projections.

Brookfield Wealth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Brookfield Wealth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookfield Wealth's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookfield Wealth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookfield Wealth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PFGPrincipal Financial Group 1.01 9 per month 1.18  0.05  2.34 (2.39) 5.63 
EGEverest Group(0.89)10 per month 1.32 (0.01) 2.03 (2.26) 5.45 
FNFFidelity National Financial 0.40 12 per month 1.46 (0.01) 2.58 (2.33) 7.56 
EQHAxa Equitable Holdings(1.73)10 per month 1.77 (0.03) 2.67 (2.52) 7.44 
AEGAegon NV ADR(0.09)9 per month 2.14 (0.04) 2.74 (2.35) 11.41 
FITBFifth Third Bancorp(0.06)9 per month 1.00  0.17  2.76 (2.15) 9.19 
RFRegions Financial 0.11 12 per month 1.07  0.15  3.11 (2.63) 7.47 
ORIOld Republic International(0.04)9 per month 2.03  0.05  2.47 (1.95) 12.07 
BCHBanco De Chile(0.32)9 per month 1.83  0.12  2.72 (3.49) 8.66 
RGAReinsurance Group of 1.77 2 per month 0.95  0.11  2.36 (2.09) 12.08 

Other Forecasting Options for Brookfield Wealth

For every potential investor in Brookfield, whether a beginner or expert, Brookfield Wealth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brookfield Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brookfield. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brookfield Wealth's price trends.

Brookfield Wealth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brookfield Wealth stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brookfield Wealth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brookfield Wealth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brookfield Wealth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brookfield Wealth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brookfield Wealth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brookfield Wealth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brookfield Wealth Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brookfield Wealth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brookfield Wealth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brookfield Wealth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brookfield stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Brookfield Wealth

The number of cover stories for Brookfield Wealth depends on current market conditions and Brookfield Wealth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookfield Wealth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookfield Wealth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Brookfield Wealth Short Properties

Brookfield Wealth's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brookfield Wealth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brookfield Wealth Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brookfield Wealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookfield Wealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding172.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29 B

Additional Tools for Brookfield Stock Analysis

When running Brookfield Wealth's price analysis, check to measure Brookfield Wealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookfield Wealth is operating at the current time. Most of Brookfield Wealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookfield Wealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookfield Wealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookfield Wealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.