Bank of Hawaii Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BOH Stock | USD 80.69 0.80 1.00% |
The Simple Moving Average output for Bank of Hawaii is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate a tighter fit to recent price behavior. The Simple Moving Average model projects Bank of Hawaii at 80.29 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. Bank of Hawaii's Simple Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Bank of Hawaii at 80.29 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 62.25 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Bank of Hawaii's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank of Hawaii | Bank of Hawaii Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Bank of Hawaii reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. Downside is estimated near 78.83 and upside near 81.75. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Bank of Hawaii stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8564 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0567 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.055 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 62.245 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bank of Hawaii
Relative Strength Index values for Bank of measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in Bank of Hawaii's returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of Bank of Stock daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals. Identifying these patterns in Bank of Stock data supports better trade timing.Bank of Hawaii Related Equities
Investors studying Bank of Hawaii often look at related stocks within the Financials space to gauge pricing and results. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Bank of Hawaii's peer group.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank of Hawaii Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Bank of Hawaii reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Bank of Hawaii near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Bank of Hawaii. Combine market strength readings with the price and volatility measures above for a more complete analytical picture of Bank of Hawaii.
Bank of Hawaii Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Bank of Hawaii quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Bank of Hawaii have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Bank of Hawaii's price. Elevated expected shortfall for Bank of Hawaii suggests that tail-risk hedging may be more important than average-case optimization.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.69 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Bank of Hawaii Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Bank of Hawaii is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 946.52 million |