Bank of Hawaii Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BOH Stock | USD 74.02 0.79 1.08% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of Hawaii on the next trading day is expected to be 74.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.67. Bank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of Hawaii's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Bank of Hawaii's stock price is under 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bank of Hawaii hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Hawaii from the perspective of Bank of Hawaii response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of Hawaii on the next trading day is expected to be 74.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.67. Bank of Hawaii after-hype prediction price | USD 74.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Hawaii to cross-verify your projections. Bank of Hawaii Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank of Hawaii Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank of Hawaii on the next trading day is expected to be 74.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of Hawaii's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank of Hawaii Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank of Hawaii | Bank of Hawaii Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bank of Hawaii Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank of Hawaii's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of Hawaii's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.63 and 75.41, respectively. We have considered Bank of Hawaii's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of Hawaii stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of Hawaii stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1799 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1798 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7112 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0105 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 42.67 |
Predictive Modules for Bank of Hawaii
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Hawaii. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank of Hawaii After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of Hawaii at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Hawaii or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Hawaii, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of Hawaii Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of Hawaii's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Hawaii's historical news coverage. Bank of Hawaii's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.63 and 75.41, respectively. We have considered Bank of Hawaii's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of Hawaii is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Hawaii is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of Hawaii Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Hawaii is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Hawaii backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Hawaii, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
74.02 | 74.02 | 0.00 |
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Bank of Hawaii Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Bank of Hawaii is traded for 74.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Bank is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Hawaii is about 5791.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.01. About 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Bank of Hawaii was currently reported as 36.35. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.09. Bank of Hawaii last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of December 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Hawaii to cross-verify your projections.Bank of Hawaii Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Hawaii's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Hawaii's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Hawaii's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Hawaii may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BANC | Banc of California | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.15 | 4.35 | (1.75) | 7.25 | |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.05 | 2.91 | (1.54) | 5.94 | |
| PRK | Park National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 2.59 | (1.65) | 6.44 | |
| CVBF | CVB Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.04 | 3.01 | (1.98) | 6.60 | |
| SFNC | Simmons First National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.11 | 3.23 | (1.56) | 6.50 | |
| TOWN | Towne Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.06 | 2.71 | (1.24) | 5.46 | |
| FHB | First Hawaiian | (0.24) | 3 per month | 0.89 | 0.08 | 2.72 | (1.50) | 5.57 | |
| PFS | Provident Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.07 | 2.52 | (1.69) | 6.32 | |
| WSBC | WesBanco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.10 | 2.95 | (1.34) | 6.22 | |
| TBBK | The Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.46 | (2.96) | 15.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bank of Hawaii
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of Hawaii's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of Hawaii's price trends.Bank of Hawaii Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of Hawaii stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of Hawaii could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of Hawaii by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank of Hawaii Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of Hawaii stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of Hawaii shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of Hawaii stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of Hawaii entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bank of Hawaii Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank of Hawaii's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of Hawaii's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9619 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9252 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bank of Hawaii
The number of cover stories for Bank of Hawaii depends on current market conditions and Bank of Hawaii's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Hawaii is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Hawaii's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank of Hawaii Short Properties
Bank of Hawaii's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Hawaii's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of Hawaii often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Hawaii's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Hawaii's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of Hawaii to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Bank Stock please use our How to Invest in Bank of Hawaii guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of Hawaii. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank of Hawaii listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bank of Hawaii is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank of Hawaii's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank of Hawaii's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank of Hawaii's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank of Hawaii's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of Hawaii's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of Hawaii is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of Hawaii's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.