Bank Of Hawaii Stock Price Prediction

BOH Stock  USD 80.28  2.33  2.99%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank of Hawaii's share price is above 70 as of 23rd of November 2024 suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank of Hawaii's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank of Hawaii, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bank of Hawaii's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.77
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.5986
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.6402
Wall Street Target Price
65.25
Using Bank of Hawaii hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Hawaii from the perspective of Bank of Hawaii response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of Hawaii to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank of Hawaii after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 80.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bank of Hawaii Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Bank Stock please use our How to Invest in Bank of Hawaii guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.5466.7588.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.8977.1079.31
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.2545.3350.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.860.900.92
Details

Bank of Hawaii After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank of Hawaii at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Hawaii or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Hawaii, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank of Hawaii Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank of Hawaii's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Hawaii's historical news coverage. Bank of Hawaii's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.94 and 82.36, respectively. We have considered Bank of Hawaii's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
80.28
80.15
After-hype Price
82.36
Upside
Bank of Hawaii is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Hawaii is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank of Hawaii Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Hawaii is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Hawaii backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Hawaii, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
2.21
  0.13 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
80.28
80.15
0.16 
526.19  
Notes

Bank of Hawaii Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of November Bank of Hawaii is traded for 80.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bank is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 80.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Hawaii is about 50514.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.28. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Bank of Hawaii was currently reported as 33.22. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.09. Bank of Hawaii last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of December 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Bank of Hawaii Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Bank Stock please use our How to Invest in Bank of Hawaii guide.

Bank of Hawaii Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Hawaii's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Hawaii's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Hawaii's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Hawaii may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CPFCentral Pacific Financial 0.52 7 per month 1.95  0.08  4.47 (3.43) 17.89 
TBNKTerritorial Bancorp 0.13 9 per month 2.01  0.05  4.63 (2.88) 15.39 
FBPFirst Bancorp 0.11 8 per month 2.10 (0.01) 2.90 (3.55) 19.73 
HWCHancock Whitney Corp 0.78 11 per month 1.35  0.07  2.94 (2.41) 19.74 
FHBFirst Hawaiian(0.85)6 per month 1.39  0.08  2.82 (2.66) 16.01 
FISIFinancial Institutions 0.36 12 per month 1.80  0.04  4.07 (3.22) 18.30 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.09)9 per month 1.59  0.08  3.50 (2.26) 19.67 
WMPNWilliam Penn Bancorp 0.00 7 per month 0.77  0.04  2.23 (1.43) 6.97 
PKBKParke Bancorp(0.48)10 per month 0.96  0.11  2.75 (1.88) 9.72 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings 0.57 10 per month 1.62  0.05  3.29 (2.64) 17.64 
WSBFWaterstone Financial 0.05 9 per month 1.60  0.01  2.94 (2.65) 15.80 
ZIONZions Bancorporation 0.59 11 per month 1.49  0.10  3.62 (2.89) 20.65 
KEYKeyCorp 0.09 6 per month 1.36  0.07  3.06 (2.54) 19.76 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation(1.41)10 per month 2.13  0.07  4.19 (3.17) 19.53 
FHNFirst Horizon National(0.25)11 per month 1.22  0.13  3.80 (2.49) 18.94 
FITBFifth Third Bancorp(0.05)11 per month 0.97  0.08  2.39 (2.01) 10.60 

Bank of Hawaii Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank of Hawaii Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank of Hawaii stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank of Hawaii, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of Hawaii based on analysis of Bank of Hawaii hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of Hawaii's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of Hawaii's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0340.03920.0254
Price To Sales Ratio4.994.42.85

Story Coverage note for Bank of Hawaii

The number of cover stories for Bank of Hawaii depends on current market conditions and Bank of Hawaii's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Hawaii is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Hawaii's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bank of Hawaii Short Properties

Bank of Hawaii's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Hawaii's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of Hawaii often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Hawaii's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Hawaii's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments310.8 M

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank of Hawaii's price analysis, check to measure Bank of Hawaii's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of Hawaii is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of Hawaii's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of Hawaii's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of Hawaii's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of Hawaii to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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