Berkshire Hathaway Stock Forward View

BRK-A Stock  USD 751,425  1,885  0.25%   
Berkshire Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Berkshire Hathaway stock prices and determine the direction of Berkshire Hathaway's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Berkshire Hathaway's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Berkshire Hathaway's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Berkshire Hathaway's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Berkshire Hathaway, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Berkshire Hathaway's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.172
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
8.2 K
EPS Estimate Current Year
32.1 K
EPS Estimate Next Year
35.5 K
Wall Street Target Price
765.5 K
Using Berkshire Hathaway hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Berkshire Hathaway from the perspective of Berkshire Hathaway response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Berkshire Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Berkshire Hathaway on the next trading day is expected to be 769,167 with a mean absolute deviation of 7,455 and the sum of the absolute errors of 454,729.

Berkshire Hathaway Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Berkshire Hathaway's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Berkshire. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Berkshire can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Berkshire Hathaway. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Berkshire Hathaway's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Berkshire Hathaway.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Berkshire Hathaway on the next trading day is expected to be 769,167 with a mean absolute deviation of 7,455 and the sum of the absolute errors of 454,729.

Berkshire Hathaway after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 751428.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Berkshire Hathaway to cross-verify your projections.

Berkshire Hathaway Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Berkshire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Berkshire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Berkshire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Berkshire Hathaway Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Berkshire Hathaway's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1990-03-31
Previous Quarter
100.5 B
Current Value
76.3 B
Quarterly Volatility
22.6 B
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Berkshire Hathaway is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Berkshire Hathaway value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Berkshire Hathaway Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Berkshire Hathaway on the next trading day is expected to be 769,167 with a mean absolute deviation of 7,455, mean absolute percentage error of 88,639,563, and the sum of the absolute errors of 454,729.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Berkshire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Berkshire Hathaway's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Berkshire Hathaway Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Berkshire Hathaway  Berkshire Hathaway Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Berkshire Hathaway Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Berkshire Hathaway's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Berkshire Hathaway's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 769,166 and 769,168, respectively. We have considered Berkshire Hathaway's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
751,425
769,166
Downside
769,167
Expected Value
769,168
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Berkshire Hathaway stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Berkshire Hathaway stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria136.4106
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7454.5705
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors454728.8028
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Berkshire Hathaway. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Berkshire Hathaway. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Berkshire Hathaway

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkshire Hathaway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
676,282751,428751,429
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
676,282754,694754,694
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
696,583765,476849,679
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7,8628,2518,248
Details

Berkshire Hathaway After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Berkshire Hathaway at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Berkshire Hathaway or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Berkshire Hathaway, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Berkshire Hathaway Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Berkshire Hathaway's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Berkshire Hathaway's historical news coverage. Berkshire Hathaway's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 676,282 and 751,429, respectively. We have considered Berkshire Hathaway's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
751,425
676,282
Downside
751,428
After-hype Price
751,429
Upside
Berkshire Hathaway is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Berkshire Hathaway is based on 3 months time horizon.

Berkshire Hathaway Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Berkshire Hathaway is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Berkshire Hathaway backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Berkshire Hathaway, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.85
  97.58 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
751,425
751,428
0.00 
0.01  
Notes

Berkshire Hathaway Hype Timeline

Berkshire Hathaway is currently traded for 751,425. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 97.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Berkshire is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 0.01%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Berkshire Hathaway is about 145.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 751,425. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Berkshire Hathaway recorded earning per share (EPS) of 46888.92. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Berkshire Hathaway to cross-verify your projections.

Berkshire Hathaway Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Berkshire Hathaway's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Berkshire Hathaway's future price movements. Getting to know how Berkshire Hathaway's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Berkshire Hathaway may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EQHAxa Equitable Holdings(1.73)7 per month 1.77 (0.03) 2.67 (2.52) 7.44 
AIGAmerican International Group 0.32 6 per month 1.81 (0.01) 2.48 (2.37) 13.58 
ACGLArch Capital Group(4.55)8 per month 1.21  0.06  1.86 (2.04) 8.26 
ORIOld Republic International 0.02 7 per month 2.03  0.05  2.47 (1.95) 12.07 
HIGHartford Financial Services 0.44 7 per month 0.86  0.05  1.96 (1.52) 6.38 
GSHDGoosehead Insurance 0.27 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.56 (6.88) 20.83 
ACGLOArch Capital Group 0.00 0 per month 0.42 (0.09) 0.62 (0.72) 2.61 
AXAHYAxa SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.13 (0.04) 1.77 (1.72) 5.45 
IGICInternational General Insurance(0.02)5 per month 1.11  0.07  1.88 (1.31) 6.26 

Other Forecasting Options for Berkshire Hathaway

For every potential investor in Berkshire, whether a beginner or expert, Berkshire Hathaway's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Berkshire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Berkshire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Berkshire Hathaway's price trends.

Berkshire Hathaway Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Berkshire Hathaway stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Berkshire Hathaway could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Berkshire Hathaway by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Berkshire Hathaway Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Berkshire Hathaway stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Berkshire Hathaway shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Berkshire Hathaway stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Berkshire Hathaway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Berkshire Hathaway Risk Indicators

The analysis of Berkshire Hathaway's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Berkshire Hathaway's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting berkshire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Berkshire Hathaway

The number of cover stories for Berkshire Hathaway depends on current market conditions and Berkshire Hathaway's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Berkshire Hathaway is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Berkshire Hathaway's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Berkshire Hathaway Short Properties

Berkshire Hathaway's future price predictability will typically decrease when Berkshire Hathaway's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Berkshire Hathaway often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Berkshire Hathaway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkshire Hathaway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments334.2 B

Other Information on Investing in Berkshire Stock

Berkshire Hathaway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Berkshire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Berkshire with respect to the benefits of owning Berkshire Hathaway security.