Goosehead Insurance Stock Price Prediction
| GSHD Stock | USD 122.18 1.75 1.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
77
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.051 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6004 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1301 | Wall Street Target Price 105.3333 |
Using Goosehead Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goosehead Insurance from the perspective of Goosehead Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Goosehead Insurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Goosehead because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Goosehead Insurance after-hype prediction price | USD 122.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Goosehead |
Goosehead Insurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Goosehead Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goosehead Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Goosehead Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Goosehead Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Goosehead Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goosehead Insurance's historical news coverage. Goosehead Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.76 and 124.60, respectively. We have considered Goosehead Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Goosehead Insurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goosehead Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Goosehead Insurance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Goosehead Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goosehead Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goosehead Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 2.42 | 1.22 | 0.16 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
122.18 | 122.18 | 0.00 |
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Goosehead Insurance Hype Timeline
Goosehead Insurance is currently traded for 122.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Goosehead is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 125.39%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Goosehead Insurance is about 954.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 122.02. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Goosehead Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Goosehead Insurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Goosehead Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Goosehead Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goosehead Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IGICW | International General Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESGR | Enstar Group Limited | 0.24 | 7 per month | 0.39 | (0.23) | 0.68 | (0.82) | 2.06 | |
| WDH | Waterdrop ADR | (0.03) | 4 per month | 2.39 | 0.04 | 5.77 | (3.70) | 15.06 | |
| EQH | Axa Equitable Holdings | 2.90 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.06 | 2.71 | (2.33) | 17.41 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | (1.71) | 12 per month | 1.62 | 0.01 | 1.94 | (2.02) | 9.07 | |
| AXAHY | Axa SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | (0.04) | 2.36 | (2.39) | 8.33 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | (0.37) | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.25 | 5.40 | (2.47) | 10.23 | |
| AIG | American International Group | (0.84) | 11 per month | 1.20 | (0.04) | 1.77 | (1.33) | 8.30 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.32 | 0.15 | 1.39 | (0.93) | 5.10 | |
| FGF | Fundamental Global | (3.00) | 5 per month | 6.75 | 0.08 | 15.93 | (10.34) | 55.76 | |
| BBSEY | BB Seguridade Participacoes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.84 | (2.44) | 7.09 |
Goosehead Insurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Goosehead price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goosehead using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goosehead charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Goosehead Insurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Goosehead Insurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Goosehead Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Goosehead Insurance based on analysis of Goosehead Insurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Goosehead Insurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Goosehead Insurance's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0213 | 0.024 | 0.0277 | Price To Sales Ratio | 17.9 | 16.49 | 6.94 |
Story Coverage note for Goosehead Insurance
The number of cover stories for Goosehead Insurance depends on current market conditions and Goosehead Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goosehead Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goosehead Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Goosehead Insurance Short Properties
Goosehead Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Goosehead Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Goosehead Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Goosehead Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goosehead Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42 M |
Complementary Tools for Goosehead Stock analysis
When running Goosehead Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Goosehead Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goosehead Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Goosehead Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goosehead Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goosehead Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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