Brown Brown Stock Forward View
| BRO Stock | USD 72.10 0.00 0.00% |
Brown Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Brown Brown's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Brown Brown's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Brown Brown fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Brown Brown's share price is approaching 35 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brown Brown, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4237 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5154 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.978 | Wall Street Target Price 84.3571 |
Using Brown Brown hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brown Brown from the perspective of Brown Brown response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brown Brown using Brown Brown's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brown using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brown Brown's stock price.
Brown Brown Short Interest
An investor who is long Brown Brown may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brown Brown and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brown Brown with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 94.8366 | Short Percent 0.0515 | Short Ratio 5.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.7 M | 50 Day MA 79.399 |
Brown Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brown Brown on the next trading day is expected to be 69.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.11.Brown Brown Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Brown Brown's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brown. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brown can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brown Brown. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brown Brown's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brown Brown.
Brown Brown Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Brown Brown's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brown Brown stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brown Brown's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brown Brown stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brown Brown's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brown Brown on the next trading day is expected to be 69.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.11. Brown Brown after-hype prediction price | USD 71.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brown Brown to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brown contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brown Brown will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Brown Brown trading at USD 72.1, that is roughly USD 0.032 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brown Brown's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brown Brown options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Brown Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brown Brown's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brown Brown's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brown Brown stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brown Brown's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brown Brown's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brown Brown is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brown. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Brown Brown Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brown Brown Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Brown Brown's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.2 B | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 806.6 M |
Brown Brown Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brown Brown on the next trading day is expected to be 69.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brown Brown's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brown Brown Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brown Brown | Brown Brown Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Brown Brown Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brown Brown's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brown Brown's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.70 and 70.80, respectively. We have considered Brown Brown's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brown Brown stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brown Brown stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2206 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8728 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.1128 |
Predictive Modules for Brown Brown
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brown Brown. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brown Brown After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brown Brown at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brown Brown or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brown Brown, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brown Brown Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brown Brown's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brown Brown's historical news coverage. Brown Brown's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.42 and 73.52, respectively. We have considered Brown Brown's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brown Brown is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brown Brown is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brown Brown Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brown Brown is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brown Brown backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brown Brown, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.55 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.10 | 71.97 | 0.18 |
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Brown Brown Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Brown Brown is traded for 72.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Brown is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 134.78%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Brown Brown is about 373.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.05. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Brown Brown last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 29th of March 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brown Brown to cross-verify your projections.Brown Brown Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brown Brown's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brown Brown's future price movements. Getting to know how Brown Brown's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brown Brown may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WRB | W R Berkley | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.95 | (2.56) | 9.24 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | (0.15) | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (2.40) | 10.36 | |
| WTW | Willis Towers Watson | 0.67 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.33 | (1.98) | 5.74 | |
| FUTU | Futu Holdings | (2.86) | 11 per month | 3.02 | (0.01) | 5.26 | (5.58) | 14.13 | |
| CBOE | Cboe Global Markets | 1.87 | 6 per month | 1.02 | 0.1 | 1.84 | (1.86) | 6.20 | |
| CINF | Cincinnati Financial | 1.51 | 12 per month | 1.13 | (0.03) | 1.67 | (1.50) | 4.67 | |
| MKL | Markel | (5.85) | 11 per month | 0.68 | 0.05 | 1.86 | (1.04) | 7.32 | |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | (2.11) | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.13 | 2.74 | (1.80) | 9.19 | |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | 2.19 | 8 per month | 0.69 | 0.18 | 2.01 | (1.17) | 5.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brown Brown
For every potential investor in Brown, whether a beginner or expert, Brown Brown's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brown Brown's price trends.Brown Brown Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brown Brown stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brown Brown could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brown Brown by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brown Brown Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brown Brown stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brown Brown shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brown Brown stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brown Brown entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0378 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 73.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 72.85 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.85 |
Brown Brown Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brown Brown's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brown Brown's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brown Brown
The number of cover stories for Brown Brown depends on current market conditions and Brown Brown's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brown Brown is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brown Brown's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brown Brown to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Brown Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brown Brown guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Will Insurance Brokers sector continue expanding? Could Brown diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brown Brown. Projected growth potential of Brown fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Brown Brown data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 0.615 | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.361 |
Understanding Brown Brown requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Brown's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Brown Brown's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Brown Brown's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Brown Brown's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Brown Brown should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Brown Brown's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.