Boston Scientific Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

BSX Stock  USD 92.33  1.20  1.28%   
Boston Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Boston Scientific's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Boston Scientific, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Boston Scientific's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boston Scientific Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Boston Scientific's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.6
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.7642
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.0356
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.4719
Wall Street Target Price
124.4063
Using Boston Scientific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boston Scientific Corp from the perspective of Boston Scientific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boston Scientific using Boston Scientific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boston using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boston Scientific's stock price.

Boston Scientific Short Interest

An investor who is long Boston Scientific may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Boston Scientific and may potentially protect profits, hedge Boston Scientific with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
100.5265
Short Percent
0.0158
Short Ratio
2.48
Shares Short Prior Month
19.1 M
50 Day MA
95.5632

Boston Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of Boston Scientific Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 91.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.68.

Boston Scientific Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Boston Scientific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boston. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boston can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boston Scientific Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Boston Scientific's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Boston Scientific.

Boston Scientific Implied Volatility

    
  0.39  
Boston Scientific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boston Scientific Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boston Scientific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boston Scientific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boston Scientific's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Boston Scientific Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 91.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.68.

Boston Scientific after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 92.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Scientific to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Boston contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Boston Scientific Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Boston Scientific trading at USD 92.33, that is roughly USD 0.0225 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Boston Scientific's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Boston Scientific Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Boston Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Boston Scientific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Boston Scientific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Boston Scientific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Boston Scientific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Boston Scientific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Boston Scientific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Boston. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Boston Scientific Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Boston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Boston Scientific price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Boston Scientific Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Boston Scientific Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 91.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95, mean absolute percentage error of 6.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boston Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boston Scientific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boston Scientific Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Boston Scientific  Boston Scientific Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Boston Scientific Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boston Scientific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boston Scientific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.20 and 93.08, respectively. We have considered Boston Scientific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
92.33
91.64
Expected Value
93.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boston Scientific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boston Scientific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9378
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.9456
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors118.6805
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Boston Scientific Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Boston Scientific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Scientific Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boston Scientific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.9992.4393.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.10109.43110.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
88.8594.0599.26
Details
34 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
113.21124.41138.09
Details

Boston Scientific After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Boston Scientific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boston Scientific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boston Scientific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Boston Scientific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Boston Scientific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boston Scientific's historical news coverage. Boston Scientific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.99 and 93.87, respectively. We have considered Boston Scientific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
92.33
92.43
After-hype Price
93.87
Upside
Boston Scientific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boston Scientific Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Boston Scientific Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boston Scientific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boston Scientific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boston Scientific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.44
  0.10 
  0.31 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
92.33
92.43
0.11 
142.57  
Notes

Boston Scientific Hype Timeline

On the 1st of February Boston Scientific Corp is traded for 92.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. Boston is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 92.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 142.57%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Boston Scientific is about 46.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.64. The company reported the last year's revenue of 16.75 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.85 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.22 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Scientific to cross-verify your projections.

Boston Scientific Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Boston Scientific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boston Scientific's future price movements. Getting to know how Boston Scientific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boston Scientific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SYKStryker 3.61 16 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.65 (2.03) 6.72 
MDTMedtronic PLC 0.33 13 per month 0.74  0.09  2.41 (1.61) 6.95 
DHRDanaher 6.71 8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.30 (2.11) 8.05 
GILDGilead Sciences 4.67 8 per month 1.34  0.12  3.01 (2.41) 6.70 
PFEPfizer Inc 0.07 8 per month 1.15  0.08  2.24 (2.24) 7.97 
AMGNAmgen Inc 2.92 8 per month 1.17  0.13  3.47 (2.59) 11.18 
ABTAbbott Laboratories 0.93 24 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.82 (2.05) 13.37 
SNYSanofi ADR 0.93 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.87 (2.19) 5.92 
HCAHCA Holdings 6.90 9 per month 1.59  0.05  2.95 (2.89) 9.97 
MCKMcKesson 3.84 10 per month 1.26  0  2.19 (2.22) 5.78 

Other Forecasting Options for Boston Scientific

For every potential investor in Boston, whether a beginner or expert, Boston Scientific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boston Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boston. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boston Scientific's price trends.

Boston Scientific Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boston Scientific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boston Scientific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boston Scientific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boston Scientific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boston Scientific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boston Scientific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boston Scientific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boston Scientific Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boston Scientific Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boston Scientific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boston Scientific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boston stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Boston Scientific

The number of cover stories for Boston Scientific depends on current market conditions and Boston Scientific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boston Scientific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boston Scientific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Boston Scientific Short Properties

Boston Scientific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boston Scientific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boston Scientific Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boston Scientific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Scientific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments414 M

Additional Tools for Boston Stock Analysis

When running Boston Scientific's price analysis, check to measure Boston Scientific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Scientific is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Scientific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Scientific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Scientific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Scientific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.