Anheuser-Busch InBev Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BUDFF Stock  USD 70.00  0.21  0.30%   
Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Anheuser-Busch InBev's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Anheuser-Busch InBev's pink sheet price is roughly 65 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Anheuser-Busch, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Anheuser-Busch InBev's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Anheuser-Busch InBev and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Anheuser-Busch InBev's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Anheuser Busch InBev SANV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Anheuser-Busch InBev hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anheuser Busch InBev SANV from the perspective of Anheuser-Busch InBev response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anheuser Busch InBev SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 71.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.59.

Anheuser-Busch InBev after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 69.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anheuser-Busch InBev to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Anheuser-Busch InBev guide.

Anheuser-Busch InBev Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Anheuser-Busch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anheuser-Busch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anheuser-Busch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Anheuser-Busch InBev is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Anheuser Busch InBev SANV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Anheuser-Busch InBev Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anheuser Busch InBev SANV on the next trading day is expected to be 71.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anheuser-Busch InBev's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Anheuser-Busch InBev Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Anheuser-Busch InBev  Anheuser-Busch InBev Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Anheuser-Busch InBev Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Anheuser-Busch InBev's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anheuser-Busch InBev's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.28 and 73.05, respectively. We have considered Anheuser-Busch InBev's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
70.00
71.66
Expected Value
73.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anheuser-Busch InBev pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anheuser-Busch InBev pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1152
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8805
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0139
SAESum of the absolute errors54.594
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Anheuser Busch InBev SANV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Anheuser-Busch InBev. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Anheuser-Busch InBev

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anheuser Busch InBev. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.4069.7871.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.0072.0873.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.3866.0070.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anheuser-Busch InBev. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anheuser-Busch InBev's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anheuser-Busch InBev's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anheuser Busch InBev.

Anheuser-Busch InBev After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Anheuser-Busch InBev at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anheuser-Busch InBev or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Anheuser-Busch InBev, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Anheuser-Busch InBev Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Anheuser-Busch InBev's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anheuser-Busch InBev's historical news coverage. Anheuser-Busch InBev's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.40 and 71.16, respectively. We have considered Anheuser-Busch InBev's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
70.00
69.78
After-hype Price
71.16
Upside
Anheuser-Busch InBev is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anheuser Busch InBev is based on 3 months time horizon.

Anheuser-Busch InBev Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Anheuser-Busch InBev is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anheuser-Busch InBev backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anheuser-Busch InBev, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.38
  0.22 
  0.04 
13 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 13 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.00
69.78
0.31 
135.29  
Notes

Anheuser-Busch InBev Hype Timeline

Anheuser Busch InBev is currently traded for 70.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Anheuser-Busch is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 69.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 135.29%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Anheuser-Busch InBev is about 769.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.04. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Anheuser Busch InBev last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anheuser-Busch InBev to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Anheuser-Busch InBev guide.

Anheuser-Busch InBev Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Anheuser-Busch InBev's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anheuser-Busch InBev's future price movements. Getting to know how Anheuser-Busch InBev's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anheuser-Busch InBev may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HINKFHeineken NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.57 (3.02) 10.88 
CABGYCarlsberg AS 0.00 0 per month 0.87  0.05  2.34 (1.70) 5.33 
TAPMolson Coors Brewing(0.95)9 per month 1.62  0.02  3.30 (2.55) 8.40 
CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas(0.24)8 per month 1.39  0.15  2.62 (2.23) 9.52 
HEINYHeineken NV 0.06 13 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.96 (1.73) 7.33 
TSGTYTsingtao Brewery Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.26 (4.61) 16.77 
HKHHYHeineken Holding NV 0.00 0 per month 1.05 (0.05) 2.50 (1.59) 6.08 
BDWBFBudweiser Brewing 0.00 0 per month 3.29 (0.02) 7.37 (8.26) 24.88 
BUDAnheuser Busch Inbev(0.77)9 per month 0.79  0.09  2.23 (1.55) 4.71 
SAMBoston Beer 6.14 10 per month 1.96 (0.03) 3.11 (3.36) 10.23 
BDWBYBudweiser Brewing 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.53 (4.83) 11.45 
FMXFomento Economico Mexicano(1.73)9 per month 0.94  0.12  2.70 (1.88) 7.81 
STBFYSuntory Beverage Food 0.00 0 per month 1.30 (0.05) 1.65 (2.22) 5.94 
KNBWYKirin Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.05  3.15 (1.90) 5.63 

Other Forecasting Options for Anheuser-Busch InBev

For every potential investor in Anheuser-Busch, whether a beginner or expert, Anheuser-Busch InBev's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anheuser-Busch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anheuser-Busch InBev's price trends.

Anheuser-Busch InBev Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anheuser-Busch InBev pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anheuser-Busch InBev could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anheuser-Busch InBev by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Anheuser-Busch InBev Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anheuser-Busch InBev pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anheuser-Busch InBev shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anheuser-Busch InBev pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Anheuser Busch InBev SANV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Anheuser-Busch InBev Risk Indicators

The analysis of Anheuser-Busch InBev's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anheuser-Busch InBev's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anheuser-busch pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Anheuser-Busch InBev

The number of cover stories for Anheuser-Busch InBev depends on current market conditions and Anheuser-Busch InBev's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anheuser-Busch InBev is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anheuser-Busch InBev's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet

Anheuser-Busch InBev financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anheuser-Busch Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anheuser-Busch with respect to the benefits of owning Anheuser-Busch InBev security.