Burford Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BUR Stock | USD 8.92 0.09 1.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Burford Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 8.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58. Burford Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Burford Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Burford Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Burford Capital fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Burford Capital's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.625 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3553 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1014 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5859 | Wall Street Target Price 19.125 |
Using Burford Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burford Capital from the perspective of Burford Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Burford Capital using Burford Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Burford using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Burford Capital's stock price.
Burford Capital Short Interest
An investor who is long Burford Capital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Burford Capital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Burford Capital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 12.1765 | Short Percent 0.0417 | Short Ratio 3.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.7 M | 50 Day MA 9.3844 |
Burford Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Burford Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Burford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Burford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Burford Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Burford Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Burford Capital.
Burford Capital Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
Burford Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Burford Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Burford Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Burford Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Burford Capital's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Burford Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 8.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58. Burford Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 8.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Burford Capital to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Burford Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Burford Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Burford Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Burford Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Burford Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Burford Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Burford Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Burford. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Burford Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Burford Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Burford Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 8.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Burford Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Burford Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Burford Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Burford Capital | Burford Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Burford Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Burford Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Burford Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.38 and 11.46, respectively. We have considered Burford Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Burford Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Burford Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5684 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.041 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1763 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.58 |
Predictive Modules for Burford Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burford Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burford Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Burford Capital
For every potential investor in Burford, whether a beginner or expert, Burford Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Burford Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Burford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Burford Capital's price trends.Burford Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Burford Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Burford Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burford Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Burford Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Burford Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Burford Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Burford Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Burford Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Burford Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Burford Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Burford Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Burford Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Burford Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Burford Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting burford stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Burford Capital
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Burford Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Burford Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Burford Stock
Moving against Burford Stock
| 0.85 | 600901 | Jiangsu Financial Leasing | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | ALB | Albemarle Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | PNC | Pioneer Credit | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | 000415 | Bohai Leasing | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | FMCB | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Burford Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Burford Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Burford Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Burford Capital to buy it.
The correlation of Burford Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Burford Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Burford Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Burford Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Burford Stock Analysis
When running Burford Capital's price analysis, check to measure Burford Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burford Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Burford Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burford Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burford Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burford Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.