Compania Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BVN Stock | USD 36.55 0.04 0.11% |
Compania Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Compania's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Compania's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Compania fundamentals over time.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Compania's stock price is about 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Compania, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1726 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3513 | Wall Street Target Price 30.9167 |
Using Compania hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compania de Minas from the perspective of Compania response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Compania using Compania's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Compania using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Compania's stock price.
Compania Short Interest
An investor who is long Compania may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Compania and may potentially protect profits, hedge Compania with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.4395 | Short Percent 0.0318 | Short Ratio 3.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.2 M | 50 Day MA 29.6782 |
Compania Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compania de Minas on the next trading day is expected to be 36.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.71.Compania de Minas Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Compania's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Compania. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Compania can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Compania de Minas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Compania's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Compania.
Compania Implied Volatility | 1.09 |
Compania's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Compania de Minas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Compania's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Compania stock will not fluctuate a lot when Compania's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compania de Minas on the next trading day is expected to be 36.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.71. Compania after-hype prediction price | USD 36.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compania to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Compania contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Compania de Minas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0681% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Compania trading at USD 36.55, that is roughly USD 0.0249 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Compania's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Compania de Minas options at the current volatility level of 1.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Compania Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Compania's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Compania's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Compania stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Compania's open interest, investors have to compare it to Compania's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Compania is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Compania. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Compania Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compania price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compania using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compania charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Compania Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compania de Minas on the next trading day is expected to be 36.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 1.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compania Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compania's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Compania Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Compania | Compania Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Compania Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Compania's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compania's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.52 and 39.58, respectively. We have considered Compania's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compania stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compania stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3165 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2498 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6785 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0223 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.71 |
Predictive Modules for Compania
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania de Minas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compania's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Compania After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Compania at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compania or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compania, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compania Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Compania's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compania's historical news coverage. Compania's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.27 and 39.33, respectively. We have considered Compania's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Compania is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compania de Minas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Compania Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compania is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compania backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compania, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 3.03 | 0.29 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.55 | 36.30 | 0.79 |
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Compania Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Compania de Minas is traded for 36.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Compania is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.91%. The volatility of related hype on Compania is about 20200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.54. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Compania was currently reported as 14.63. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.27. Compania de Minas last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of July 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compania to cross-verify your projections.Compania Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Compania's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compania's future price movements. Getting to know how Compania's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compania may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFPM | Triple Flag Precious | (0.13) | 7 per month | 2.75 | 0.12 | 4.21 | (5.22) | 16.05 | |
| NGD | New Gold | (0.37) | 11 per month | 3.77 | 0.15 | 6.67 | (4.72) | 29.39 | |
| UFPI | Ufp Industries | (1.06) | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 3.46 | (2.12) | 7.57 | |
| EGO | Eldorado Gold Corp | 0.50 | 8 per month | 2.82 | 0.22 | 5.65 | (3.98) | 17.36 | |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | 0.19 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.06 | 2.69 | (2.56) | 7.97 | |
| BTG | B2Gold Corp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 3.69 | 0.03 | 5.48 | (5.74) | 21.21 | |
| LPX | Louisiana Pacific | 0.75 | 8 per month | 2.48 | (0) | 4.95 | (3.12) | 12.08 | |
| CLF | Cleveland Cliffs | 0.43 | 8 per month | 4.72 | 0.01 | 5.23 | (7.09) | 17.41 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 0.01 | 9 per month | 3.02 | 0.21 | 5.78 | (5.81) | 21.74 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | (0.45) | 10 per month | 3.15 | 0.09 | 4.51 | (3.97) | 25.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Compania
For every potential investor in Compania, whether a beginner or expert, Compania's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compania Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compania. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compania's price trends.Compania Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compania stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compania could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compania by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Compania Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compania stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compania shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compania stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compania de Minas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Compania Risk Indicators
The analysis of Compania's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compania's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compania stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Variance | 9.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Compania
The number of cover stories for Compania depends on current market conditions and Compania's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compania is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compania's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Compania Short Properties
Compania's future price predictability will typically decrease when Compania's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Compania de Minas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Compania's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compania's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 478.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compania to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Compania diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Compania. Projected growth potential of Compania fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Compania data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Dividend Share 0.292 | Earnings Share 1.79 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.302 |
Understanding Compania de Minas requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Compania's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Compania's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Compania's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Compania's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Compania should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Compania's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.