Crossamerica Partners Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CAPL Stock | USD 20.92 0.30 1.45% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crossamerica Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 20.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.82. Crossamerica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Crossamerica Partners' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Crossamerica Partners' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Crossamerica Partners fundamentals over time.
As of now, The value of relative strength index of Crossamerica Partners' share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Crossamerica Partners, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.271 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.82 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.07 |
Using Crossamerica Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crossamerica Partners LP from the perspective of Crossamerica Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crossamerica Partners using Crossamerica Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crossamerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crossamerica Partners' stock price.
Crossamerica Partners Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Crossamerica Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crossamerica Partners LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crossamerica Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crossamerica Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crossamerica Partners' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crossamerica Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 20.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.82. Crossamerica Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 20.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Crossamerica Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crossamerica Partners' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crossamerica Partners' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crossamerica Partners stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crossamerica Partners' open interest, investors have to compare it to Crossamerica Partners' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crossamerica Partners is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crossamerica. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Crossamerica Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crossamerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crossamerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crossamerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crossamerica Partners Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crossamerica Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 20.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crossamerica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crossamerica Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crossamerica Partners Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crossamerica Partners | Crossamerica Partners Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Crossamerica Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crossamerica Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crossamerica Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.86 and 22.01, respectively. We have considered Crossamerica Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crossamerica Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crossamerica Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0339 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.009 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.8158 |
Predictive Modules for Crossamerica Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crossamerica Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Crossamerica Partners
For every potential investor in Crossamerica, whether a beginner or expert, Crossamerica Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crossamerica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crossamerica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crossamerica Partners' price trends.Crossamerica Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crossamerica Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crossamerica Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crossamerica Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crossamerica Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crossamerica Partners' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crossamerica Partners' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crossamerica Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crossamerica Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crossamerica Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crossamerica Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crossamerica Partners LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Crossamerica Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crossamerica Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crossamerica Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crossamerica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8337 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crossamerica Partners. If investors know Crossamerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crossamerica Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.271 | Dividend Share 2.1 | Earnings Share 1.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
The market value of Crossamerica Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crossamerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crossamerica Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crossamerica Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crossamerica Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crossamerica Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crossamerica Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crossamerica Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crossamerica Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.