CBL Associates Stock Forward View

CBL Stock  USD 36.69  0.89  2.49%   
CBL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CBL Associates' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CBL Associates' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CBL Associates fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of CBL Associates' share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CBL Associates, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CBL Associates' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CBL Associates and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CBL Associates' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CBL Associates Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CBL Associates' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.611
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.34
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.92
Wall Street Target Price
36
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.14
Using CBL Associates hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CBL Associates Properties from the perspective of CBL Associates response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CBL Associates using CBL Associates' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CBL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CBL Associates' stock price.

CBL Associates Short Interest

An investor who is long CBL Associates may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CBL Associates and may potentially protect profits, hedge CBL Associates with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
27.9573
Short Percent
0.0434
Short Ratio
9.7
Shares Short Prior Month
931.5 K
50 Day MA
30.4018

CBL Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CBL Associates Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 36.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.14.

CBL Associates Properties Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CBL Associates' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CBL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CBL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CBL Associates Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CBL Associates' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CBL Associates.

CBL Associates Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
CBL Associates' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CBL Associates Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CBL Associates' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CBL Associates stock will not fluctuate a lot when CBL Associates' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CBL Associates Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 36.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.14.

CBL Associates after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBL Associates to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CBL contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CBL Associates Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CBL Associates trading at USD 36.69, that is roughly USD 0.009402 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CBL Associates' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CBL Associates Properties options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CBL Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CBL Associates' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CBL Associates' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CBL Associates stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CBL Associates' open interest, investors have to compare it to CBL Associates' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CBL Associates is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CBL. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

CBL Associates Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CBL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CBL using various technical indicators. When you analyze CBL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

CBL Associates Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the CBL Associates' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1996-06-30
Previous Quarter
100.3 M
Current Value
52.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
41.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for CBL Associates is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CBL Associates Properties value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CBL Associates Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CBL Associates Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 36.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CBL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CBL Associates' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CBL Associates Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CBL Associates  CBL Associates Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

CBL Associates Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CBL Associates' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CBL Associates' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.17 and 38.53, respectively. We have considered CBL Associates' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.69
36.85
Expected Value
38.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CBL Associates stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CBL Associates stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.086
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.494
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.014
SAESum of the absolute errors30.1361
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CBL Associates Properties. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CBL Associates. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CBL Associates

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CBL Associates Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.9536.6338.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.0238.9240.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.6336.6338.64
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.7636.0039.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CBL Associates. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CBL Associates' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CBL Associates' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CBL Associates Properties.

CBL Associates After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CBL Associates at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CBL Associates or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CBL Associates, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CBL Associates Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CBL Associates' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CBL Associates' historical news coverage. CBL Associates' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.95 and 38.31, respectively. We have considered CBL Associates' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.69
36.63
After-hype Price
38.31
Upside
CBL Associates is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CBL Associates Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.

CBL Associates Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CBL Associates is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CBL Associates backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CBL Associates, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.68
  0.06 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.69
36.63
0.16 
884.21  
Notes

CBL Associates Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February CBL Associates Properties is traded for 36.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. CBL is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on CBL Associates is about 1784.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.66. About 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CBL Associates was currently reported as 11.42. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2025. CBL Associates Properties had 2:1 split on the 16th of June 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBL Associates to cross-verify your projections.

CBL Associates Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CBL Associates' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CBL Associates' future price movements. Getting to know how CBL Associates' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CBL Associates may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KRGKite Realty Group 0.09 7 per month 0.92  0.03  2.10 (1.78) 5.39 
SITCSite Centers Corp 0.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.30 (2.54) 6.71 
UEUrban Edge Properties(0.25)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.98 (2.05) 4.59 
AKRAcadia Realty Trust(0.12)5 per month 1.10  0.02  2.44 (2.00) 4.81 
BFSSaul Centers 0.10 8 per month 1.06  0.05  1.78 (1.75) 4.95 
ALXAlexanders(0.23)11 per month 1.31  0.06  2.45 (2.10) 5.30 
IVTInventrust Properties Corp(0.34)9 per month 0.79  0.03  1.79 (1.22) 4.65 
RPTRithm Property Trust(0.04)20 per month 2.07  0.09  3.49 (2.75) 15.63 
BRXBrixmor Property(0.11)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.72 (2.06) 4.13 
NTSTNetstreit Corp 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.92 (1.73) 5.29 
GTYGetty Realty(0.06)8 per month 0.88  0.05  1.93 (1.48) 4.47 
PINEAlpineome Property Trust(0.19)11 per month 1.08  0.22  2.27 (2.44) 7.38 

Other Forecasting Options for CBL Associates

For every potential investor in CBL, whether a beginner or expert, CBL Associates' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CBL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CBL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CBL Associates' price trends.

CBL Associates Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CBL Associates stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CBL Associates could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CBL Associates by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CBL Associates Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CBL Associates stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CBL Associates shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CBL Associates stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CBL Associates Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CBL Associates Risk Indicators

The analysis of CBL Associates' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CBL Associates' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cbl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CBL Associates

The number of cover stories for CBL Associates depends on current market conditions and CBL Associates' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CBL Associates is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CBL Associates' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CBL Associates Short Properties

CBL Associates' future price predictability will typically decrease when CBL Associates' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CBL Associates Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CBL Associates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CBL Associates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31 M
Cash And Short Term Investments283.9 M
When determining whether CBL Associates Properties is a strong investment it is important to analyze CBL Associates' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CBL Associates' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CBL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CBL Associates to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CBL Associates. Projected growth potential of CBL fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive CBL Associates assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.611
Dividend Share
1.65
Earnings Share
4
Revenue Per Share
18.234
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
CBL Associates Properties's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on CBL's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate CBL Associates' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since CBL Associates' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CBL Associates' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CBL Associates should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, CBL Associates' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.