Cracker Barrel Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| CBRL Stock | USD 31.35 1.23 4.08% |
Cracker Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of Cracker Barrel's share price is at 52 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cracker Barrel, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cracker Barrel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cracker Barrel Old from the perspective of Cracker Barrel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cracker Barrel Old on the next trading day is expected to be 31.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.94. Cracker Barrel after-hype prediction price | USD 31.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cracker Barrel to cross-verify your projections. Cracker Barrel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cracker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cracker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cracker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cracker Barrel Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cracker Barrel Old on the next trading day is expected to be 31.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43, mean absolute percentage error of 3.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cracker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cracker Barrel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cracker Barrel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cracker Barrel | Cracker Barrel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cracker Barrel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cracker Barrel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cracker Barrel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.50 and 35.26, respectively. We have considered Cracker Barrel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cracker Barrel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cracker Barrel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3108 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4253 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0494 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.9432 |
Predictive Modules for Cracker Barrel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cracker Barrel Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cracker Barrel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cracker Barrel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cracker Barrel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cracker Barrel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cracker Barrel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cracker Barrel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cracker Barrel's historical news coverage. Cracker Barrel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.47 and 35.23, respectively. We have considered Cracker Barrel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cracker Barrel is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cracker Barrel Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cracker Barrel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cracker Barrel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cracker Barrel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cracker Barrel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 3.88 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.35 | 31.35 | 0.00 |
|
Cracker Barrel Hype Timeline
Cracker Barrel Old is currently traded for 31.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cracker is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cracker Barrel is about 10777.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.35. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cracker Barrel Old has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 22nd of March 1993. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cracker Barrel to cross-verify your projections.Cracker Barrel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cracker Barrel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cracker Barrel's future price movements. Getting to know how Cracker Barrel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cracker Barrel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | 0.27 | 10 per month | 1.55 | 0.15 | 4.29 | (2.95) | 21.89 | |
| SG | Sweetgreen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.98 | (0.01) | 5.86 | (6.54) | 23.70 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.22 | (7.22) | 22.59 | |
| BBW | Build A Bear Workshop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.05 | 0.08 | 4.68 | (4.37) | 25.04 | |
| KRUS | Kura Sushi USA | (0.47) | 9 per month | 3.39 | 0.08 | 6.47 | (5.42) | 19.62 | |
| CSV | Carriage Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | (0.02) | 2.07 | (1.90) | 5.68 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.12 | 6.86 | (4.01) | 13.56 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | (0.16) | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.01 | 3.99 | (3.44) | 10.98 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.25 | 3.22 | (1.33) | 8.83 | |
| LQDT | Liquidity Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.20 | 3.68 | (2.64) | 16.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cracker Barrel
For every potential investor in Cracker, whether a beginner or expert, Cracker Barrel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cracker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cracker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cracker Barrel's price trends.Cracker Barrel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cracker Barrel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cracker Barrel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cracker Barrel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cracker Barrel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cracker Barrel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cracker Barrel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cracker Barrel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cracker Barrel Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cracker Barrel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cracker Barrel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cracker Barrel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cracker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Variance | 15.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cracker Barrel
The number of cover stories for Cracker Barrel depends on current market conditions and Cracker Barrel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cracker Barrel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cracker Barrel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Cracker Barrel Short Properties
Cracker Barrel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cracker Barrel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cracker Barrel Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cracker Barrel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cracker Barrel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cracker Barrel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cracker Barrel. Projected growth potential of Cracker fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Cracker Barrel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Cracker Barrel Old requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Cracker's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Cracker Barrel's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Cracker Barrel's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cracker Barrel's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cracker Barrel should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cracker Barrel's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.