CBIZ Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CBZ Stock  USD 86.55  1.52  1.79%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CBIZ Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 86.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.17. CBIZ Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, CBIZ's Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.95 in 2025, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 6.50 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 48.1 M in 2025. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 127.2 M in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 CBIZ Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CBIZ's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CBIZ's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CBIZ stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CBIZ's open interest, investors have to compare it to CBIZ's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CBIZ is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CBIZ. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for CBIZ works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

CBIZ Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CBIZ Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 86.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CBIZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CBIZ's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CBIZ Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CBIZCBIZ Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CBIZ Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CBIZ's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CBIZ's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.13 and 88.37, respectively. We have considered CBIZ's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.55
86.75
Expected Value
88.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CBIZ stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CBIZ stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1644
MADMean absolute deviation1.0029
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors59.1702
When CBIZ Inc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any CBIZ Inc trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent CBIZ observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CBIZ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CBIZ Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.2785.9087.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.3996.7098.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.1082.8086.51
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
88.2797.00107.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CBIZ. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CBIZ's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CBIZ's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CBIZ Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for CBIZ

For every potential investor in CBIZ, whether a beginner or expert, CBIZ's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CBIZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CBIZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CBIZ's price trends.

CBIZ Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CBIZ stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CBIZ could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CBIZ by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CBIZ Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CBIZ's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CBIZ's current price.

CBIZ Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CBIZ stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CBIZ shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CBIZ stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CBIZ Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CBIZ Risk Indicators

The analysis of CBIZ's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CBIZ's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cbiz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for CBIZ Stock Analysis

When running CBIZ's price analysis, check to measure CBIZ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CBIZ is operating at the current time. Most of CBIZ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CBIZ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CBIZ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CBIZ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.