Crescent Capital Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CCAP Stock | USD 14.52 0.04 0.27% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crescent Capital BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 14.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.72. Crescent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Crescent Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Crescent Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Crescent Capital fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Crescent Capital's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4533 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.79 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.595 | Wall Street Target Price 15.75 |
Using Crescent Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crescent Capital BDC from the perspective of Crescent Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crescent Capital using Crescent Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crescent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crescent Capital's stock price.
Crescent Capital Short Interest
An investor who is long Crescent Capital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Crescent Capital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Crescent Capital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.7732 | Short Percent 0.0199 | Short Ratio 2.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 268.6 K | 50 Day MA 14.39 |
Crescent Capital BDC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Crescent Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Crescent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Crescent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Crescent Capital BDC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Crescent Capital Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Crescent Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crescent Capital BDC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crescent Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crescent Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crescent Capital's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crescent Capital BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 14.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.72. Crescent Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 14.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crescent Capital to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Crescent contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Crescent Capital BDC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Crescent Capital trading at USD 14.52, that is roughly USD 0.008531 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Crescent Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Crescent Capital BDC options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Crescent Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crescent Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crescent Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crescent Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crescent Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Crescent Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crescent Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crescent. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Crescent Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crescent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crescent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crescent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crescent Capital Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crescent Capital BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 14.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crescent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crescent Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crescent Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crescent Capital | Crescent Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Crescent Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crescent Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crescent Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.79 and 15.79, respectively. We have considered Crescent Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crescent Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crescent Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6983 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2413 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0173 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.7175 |
Predictive Modules for Crescent Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Capital BDC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crescent Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crescent Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crescent Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crescent Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crescent Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crescent Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crescent Capital's historical news coverage. Crescent Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.02 and 16.02, respectively. We have considered Crescent Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crescent Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crescent Capital BDC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crescent Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crescent Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crescent Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crescent Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.52 | 14.52 | 0.00 |
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Crescent Capital Hype Timeline
Crescent Capital BDC is currently traded for 14.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Crescent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Crescent Capital is about 2142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.52. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crescent Capital BDC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crescent Capital to cross-verify your projections.Crescent Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crescent Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crescent Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Crescent Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crescent Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.68 | (0.08) | 1.23 | (1.23) | 3.47 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.02 | 2.49 | (2.11) | 10.10 | |
| MSIF | MSCome Fund | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.65 | (0.01) | 2.91 | (2.89) | 11.44 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.16 | (2.42) | 7.91 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.07 | 2.09 | (1.72) | 9.50 | |
| CION | Cion Investment Corp | (0.06) | 8 per month | 1.54 | 0.01 | 1.77 | (2.28) | 10.23 | |
| ALTI | Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings | (0.02) | 8 per month | 3.18 | 0.05 | 5.59 | (4.92) | 21.63 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | (0.36) | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.03 | 2.28 | (2.31) | 8.35 | |
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | 0.02 | 16 per month | 1.39 | 0.03 | 2.55 | (2.24) | 8.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crescent Capital
For every potential investor in Crescent, whether a beginner or expert, Crescent Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crescent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crescent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crescent Capital's price trends.Crescent Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crescent Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crescent Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crescent Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crescent Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crescent Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crescent Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crescent Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crescent Capital BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Crescent Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crescent Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crescent Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crescent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crescent Capital
The number of cover stories for Crescent Capital depends on current market conditions and Crescent Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crescent Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crescent Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crescent Capital Short Properties
Crescent Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crescent Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crescent Capital BDC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crescent Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crescent Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.1 M |
Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis
When running Crescent Capital's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.