Coastal Carolina OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CCNB Stock | USD 13.55 0.12 0.88% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coastal Carolina Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 13.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.13. Coastal OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coastal Carolina stock prices and determine the direction of Coastal Carolina Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coastal Carolina's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Coastal Carolina's share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Coastal Carolina based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Coastal Carolina hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coastal Carolina Bancshares from the perspective of Coastal Carolina response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coastal Carolina Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 13.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.13. Coastal Carolina after-hype prediction price | USD 13.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Coastal |
Coastal Carolina Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coastal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coastal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coastal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coastal Carolina Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coastal Carolina Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 13.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coastal OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coastal Carolina's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coastal Carolina OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Coastal Carolina Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coastal Carolina's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coastal Carolina's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.18 and 14.93, respectively. We have considered Coastal Carolina's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coastal Carolina otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coastal Carolina otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5087 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0252 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1169 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0092 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.1302 |
Predictive Modules for Coastal Carolina
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coastal Carolina Ban. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coastal Carolina After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coastal Carolina at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coastal Carolina or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Coastal Carolina, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coastal Carolina Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coastal Carolina's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coastal Carolina's historical news coverage. Coastal Carolina's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.18 and 14.92, respectively. We have considered Coastal Carolina's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coastal Carolina is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coastal Carolina Ban is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coastal Carolina OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Coastal Carolina is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coastal Carolina backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coastal Carolina, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.37 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.55 | 13.55 | 0.00 |
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Coastal Carolina Hype Timeline
Coastal Carolina Ban is currently traded for 13.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Coastal is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coastal Carolina is about 1070.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.53. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Coastal Carolina Ban has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 111.7. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 11:10 split on the 12th of April 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coastal Carolina to cross-verify your projections.Coastal Carolina Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coastal Carolina's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coastal Carolina's future price movements. Getting to know how Coastal Carolina's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coastal Carolina may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CITZ | Citizens Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26 | |
| PBKC | Pioneer Bankcorp | (0.58) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | |
| KLIB | Killbuck Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.05 | 4.06 | (2.46) | 10.27 | |
| FABP | Farmers Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.38 | (1.03) | 6.64 | |
| SEBC | Southeastern Banking Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.03 | 2.02 | (2.56) | 13.25 | |
| BYLB | Boyle Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.14 | 3.74 | (1.88) | 17.52 | |
| EFIN | Eastern Michigan Financial | (0.58) | 3 per month | 0.89 | 0.03 | 1.75 | (2.06) | 4.96 | |
| PTBS | Potomac Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | (0.02) | 2.54 | (3.07) | 8.39 | |
| NWPP | New Peoples Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.57 | 0.07 | 7.94 | (3.08) | 27.06 | |
| UNIB | University Bancorp | (0.12) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.26 | 5.04 | (1.03) | 15.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coastal Carolina
For every potential investor in Coastal, whether a beginner or expert, Coastal Carolina's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coastal OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coastal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coastal Carolina's price trends.Coastal Carolina Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coastal Carolina otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coastal Carolina could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coastal Carolina by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coastal Carolina Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coastal Carolina otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coastal Carolina shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coastal Carolina otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coastal Carolina Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 23.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.60) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.56 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.56 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Coastal Carolina Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coastal Carolina's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coastal Carolina's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coastal otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.928 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coastal Carolina
The number of cover stories for Coastal Carolina depends on current market conditions and Coastal Carolina's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coastal Carolina is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coastal Carolina's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Coastal OTC Stock
Coastal Carolina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coastal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coastal with respect to the benefits of owning Coastal Carolina security.