Farmers Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

FABP Stock  USD 35.50  0.50  1.43%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Farmers Bancorp's the pink sheet price is slightly above 65. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Farmers, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Farmers Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Farmers Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Farmers Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmers Bancorp from the perspective of Farmers Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmers Bancorp to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Farmers Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Farmers Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7030.8539.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.5835.7436.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.6734.7035.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmers Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmers Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmers Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmers Bancorp.

Farmers Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Farmers Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmers Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Farmers Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Farmers Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Farmers Bancorp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmers Bancorp's historical news coverage. Farmers Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.35 and 36.65, respectively. We have considered Farmers Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.50
35.50
After-hype Price
36.65
Upside
Farmers Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmers Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Farmers Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmers Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmers Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.15
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.50
35.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Farmers Bancorp Hype Timeline

Farmers Bancorp is currently traded for 35.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Farmers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmers Bancorp is about 561.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.50. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.74. Farmers Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 12th of April 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Farmers Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Farmers Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Farmers Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmers Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Farmers Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmers Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LOGNLogansport Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FFMRFirst Farmers Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.26 (0.24) 0.74 (0.74) 2.22 
FMAOFarmers Merchants Bancorp 0.15 8 per month 1.68  0.09  3.85 (2.67) 15.56 
LKFNLakeland Financial(1.90)8 per month 1.66  0.03  3.84 (2.98) 14.38 
EFSIEagle Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.60 (0.03) 1.37 (1.22) 4.23 
FFWCFFW Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  1.91 (0.62) 6.78 
ALPIBAlpine Banks of 0.00 0 per month 0.79  0.03  2.04 (0.87) 5.69 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)8 per month 1.12  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.76  0.07  3.67 (3.12) 10.19 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.76 (0.12) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.74 (0.01) 4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 2.07 (0.04) 6.22 (4.11) 14.42 
GABCGerman American Bancorp(0.54)8 per month 1.20  0.04  2.72 (2.21) 16.97 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp(0.05)9 per month 1.84  0.0003  3.41 (3.32) 19.09 
HBNCHorizon Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 1.53  0.07  4.16 (3.17) 14.62 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings(0.92)9 per month 1.62  0.04  2.64 (2.64) 17.64 
FBNCFirst Bancorp(1.69)9 per month 1.49  0.05  3.37 (2.51) 16.50 

Farmers Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Farmers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Farmers Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Farmers Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmers Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers Bancorp based on analysis of Farmers Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmers Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmers Bancorp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Farmers Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Farmers Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Farmers Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmers Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmers Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Farmers Bancorp Short Properties

Farmers Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Farmers Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farmers Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farmers Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid2.5 M

Additional Tools for Farmers Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Farmers Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Farmers Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmers Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Farmers Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmers Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmers Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmers Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.