Cogent Communications Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| CCOI Stock | USD 25.07 0.78 3.21% |
Cogent Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cogent Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 9th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Cogent Communications' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 228.092 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.25) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.38) | Wall Street Target Price 30.8182 |
Using Cogent Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cogent Communications Group from the perspective of Cogent Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cogent Communications using Cogent Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cogent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cogent Communications' stock price.
Cogent Communications Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cogent Communications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cogent. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cogent Communications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 37.3731 | Short Percent 0.1851 | Short Ratio 4.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 22.3018 |
Cogent Relative Strength Index
Cogent Communications Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cogent Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cogent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cogent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cogent Communications Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cogent Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cogent Communications.
Cogent Communications Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
Cogent Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cogent Communications Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cogent Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cogent Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cogent Communications' options are near their expiration.
Cogent Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 24.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cogent Communications to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cogent contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cogent Communications Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Cogent Communications trading at USD 25.07, that is roughly USD 0.0166 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cogent Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cogent Communications Group options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Cogent Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cogent Communications' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cogent Communications' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cogent Communications stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cogent Communications' open interest, investors have to compare it to Cogent Communications' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cogent Communications is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cogent. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cogent Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cogent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cogent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cogent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 70125.12 | 70125.12 |
| Check Cogent Communications Volatility | Backtest Cogent Communications | Information Ratio |
Cogent Communications Trading Date Momentum
| On February 09 2026 Cogent Communications Group was traded for 25.07 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 25.66 and the lowest listed price was 23.62 . The trading volume for the day was 882.1 K. The trading history from February 9, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.07% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Cogent Communications to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Cogent Communications
For every potential investor in Cogent, whether a beginner or expert, Cogent Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cogent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cogent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cogent Communications' price trends.View Cogent Communications Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cogent Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cogent Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cogent Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cogent Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cogent Communications Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 70125.12 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3824 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.64 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.82 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.78 |
Cogent Communications Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cogent Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cogent Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cogent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.27 | |||
| Variance | 39.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cogent Communications
The number of cover stories for Cogent Communications depends on current market conditions and Cogent Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cogent Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cogent Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Cogent Communications Short Properties
Cogent Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cogent Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cogent Communications Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cogent Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cogent Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 198.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cogent Communications to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is there potential for Diversified Telecommunication Services market expansion? Will Cogent introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cogent Communications. Projected growth potential of Cogent fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Cogent Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 228.092 | Dividend Share 4.025 | Earnings Share (4.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Investors evaluate Cogent Communications using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Cogent Communications' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Cogent Communications' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cogent Communications' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cogent Communications should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cogent Communications' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.