Cadence Design Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CDNS Stock  USD 314.64  13.42  4.46%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadence Design Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 314.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 255.79. Cadence Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength indicator of Cadence Design's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 94

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cadence Design's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cadence Design and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cadence Design's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cadence Design Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cadence Design hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cadence Design Systems from the perspective of Cadence Design response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadence Design Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 314.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 255.79.

Cadence Design after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 310.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cadence Design to cross-verify your projections.

Cadence Design Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cadence price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cadence using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cadence charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cadence Design simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Cadence Design Systems are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cadence Design Systems prices get older.

Cadence Design Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cadence Design Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 314.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.26, mean absolute percentage error of 36.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 255.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cadence Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cadence Design's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cadence Design Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cadence DesignCadence Design Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cadence Design Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cadence Design's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cadence Design's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 312.82 and 316.46, respectively. We have considered Cadence Design's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
314.64
312.82
Downside
314.64
Expected Value
316.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cadence Design stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cadence Design stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8581
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5672
MADMean absolute deviation4.2632
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors255.79
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Cadence Design Systems forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cadence Design observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cadence Design

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadence Design Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
308.38310.11311.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
279.14350.52352.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
298.72307.26315.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cadence Design

For every potential investor in Cadence, whether a beginner or expert, Cadence Design's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cadence Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cadence. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cadence Design's price trends.

Cadence Design Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cadence Design stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cadence Design could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cadence Design by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cadence Design Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cadence Design's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cadence Design's current price.

Cadence Design Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cadence Design stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cadence Design shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cadence Design stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cadence Design Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cadence Design Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cadence Design's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cadence Design's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cadence stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Cadence Stock Analysis

When running Cadence Design's price analysis, check to measure Cadence Design's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadence Design is operating at the current time. Most of Cadence Design's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadence Design's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadence Design's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadence Design to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.