CEVA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CEVA Stock | USD 22.17 0.34 1.51% |
CEVA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CEVA stock prices and determine the direction of CEVA Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CEVA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of CEVA's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CEVA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.959 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2114 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4175 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6425 | Wall Street Target Price 31.4 |
Using CEVA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CEVA Inc from the perspective of CEVA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CEVA using CEVA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CEVA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CEVA's stock price.
CEVA Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CEVA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CEVA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CEVA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 23.3317 | Short Percent 0.0784 | Short Ratio 3.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 22.0004 |
CEVA Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEVA Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 22.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.50.CEVA Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CEVA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CEVA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CEVA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CEVA Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CEVA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CEVA.
CEVA Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
CEVA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CEVA Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CEVA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CEVA stock will not fluctuate a lot when CEVA's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEVA Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 22.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.50. CEVA after-hype prediction price | USD 22.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEVA to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CEVA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CEVA Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CEVA trading at USD 22.17, that is roughly USD 0.0134 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CEVA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CEVA Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CEVA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CEVA's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CEVA's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CEVA stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CEVA's open interest, investors have to compare it to CEVA's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CEVA is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CEVA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CEVA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CEVA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CEVA using various technical indicators. When you analyze CEVA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CEVA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEVA Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 22.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CEVA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CEVA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CEVA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CEVA | CEVA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CEVA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CEVA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CEVA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.62 and 25.72, respectively. We have considered CEVA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CEVA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CEVA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.735 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0826 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5984 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.5 |
Predictive Modules for CEVA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEVA Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEVA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CEVA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CEVA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CEVA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CEVA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CEVA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CEVA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CEVA's historical news coverage. CEVA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.64 and 25.70, respectively. We have considered CEVA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CEVA is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CEVA Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
CEVA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CEVA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CEVA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CEVA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.55 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.17 | 22.17 | 0.00 |
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CEVA Hype Timeline
CEVA Inc is currently traded for 22.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. CEVA is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on CEVA is about 5634.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.19. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CEVA was currently reported as 11.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.01. CEVA Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.1. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 10:319 split on the 1st of November 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEVA to cross-verify your projections.CEVA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CEVA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CEVA's future price movements. Getting to know how CEVA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CEVA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WOLF | Wolfspeed | (0.80) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 9.02 | (7.83) | 22.69 | |
| POET | POET Technologies | 0.23 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.24 | (9.96) | 45.50 | |
| AIP | Arteris | (0.09) | 14 per month | 4.46 | 0.04 | 5.75 | (4.72) | 43.24 | |
| SKYT | Skywater Technology | 0.14 | 4 per month | 5.62 | 0.15 | 12.40 | (9.12) | 48.91 | |
| AMBQ | Ambiq Micro | 0.47 | 19 per month | 3.57 | 0.03 | 6.03 | (5.98) | 17.30 | |
| AEHR | Aehr Test Systems | 0.18 | 7 per month | 4.50 | 0.03 | 8.59 | (7.38) | 25.23 | |
| ICHR | Ichor Holdings | 0.92 | 11 per month | 6.65 | 0.13 | 8.45 | (4.99) | 35.78 | |
| IMOS | ChipMOS Technologies | (0.36) | 7 per month | 2.51 | 0.23 | 8.78 | (4.77) | 23.93 | |
| CGNT | Cognyte Software | 0.02 | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.02 | 3.70 | (4.23) | 13.68 | |
| AIOT | PowerFleet | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.91 | (4.03) | 13.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for CEVA
For every potential investor in CEVA, whether a beginner or expert, CEVA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CEVA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CEVA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CEVA's price trends.CEVA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CEVA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CEVA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CEVA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CEVA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CEVA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CEVA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CEVA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CEVA Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CEVA Risk Indicators
The analysis of CEVA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CEVA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ceva stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Variance | 11.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CEVA
The number of cover stories for CEVA depends on current market conditions and CEVA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CEVA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CEVA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CEVA Short Properties
CEVA's future price predictability will typically decrease when CEVA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CEVA Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CEVA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEVA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 163.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CEVA to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CEVA. Projected growth potential of CEVA fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive CEVA assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.959 | Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.043 | Return On Assets |
Understanding CEVA Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CEVA's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what CEVA's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CEVA's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CEVA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CEVA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CEVA's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.