CF Bankshares Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CFBK Stock | USD 28.83 0.17 0.59% |
CFBK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CF Bankshares' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CF Bankshares' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CF Bankshares fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of CF Bankshares' stock price is about 68 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CFBK, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.87 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.18 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.72 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
Using CF Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CF Bankshares from the perspective of CF Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CF Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 27.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.56. CF Bankshares after-hype prediction price | USD 25.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. CF Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CFBK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CFBK using various technical indicators. When you analyze CFBK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CF Bankshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CF Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 27.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CFBK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CF Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CF Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CF Bankshares | CF Bankshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CF Bankshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CF Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CF Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.07 and 29.59, respectively. We have considered CF Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CF Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CF Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7615 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.751 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0301 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.5638 |
Predictive Modules for CF Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CF Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CF Bankshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CF Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CF Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CF Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CF Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CF Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CF Bankshares' historical news coverage. CF Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.01 and 31.71, respectively. We have considered CF Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CF Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CF Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
CF Bankshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CF Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CF Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CF Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.76 | 3.06 | 0.14 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.83 | 25.77 | 10.61 |
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CF Bankshares Hype Timeline
CF Bankshares is currently traded for 28.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. CFBK is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 20.68%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -10.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on CF Bankshares is about 453.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.69. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CF Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2025. The entity had 181:1000 split on the 21st of August 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.CF Bankshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CF Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CF Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how CF Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CF Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCAP | First Capital | (2.96) | 8 per month | 2.51 | 0.11 | 6.23 | (4.26) | 17.93 | |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (2.95) | 8.99 | |
| PEBK | Peoples Bancorp of | 0.47 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.09 | 3.26 | (2.01) | 5.97 | |
| HNVR | Hanover Bancorp | 0.31 | 6 per month | 0.90 | 0.09 | 2.54 | (2.05) | 7.48 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | (0.27) | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.05 | 3.70 | (2.21) | 8.84 | |
| CZWI | Citizens Community Bancorp | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.12 | 2.36 | (1.73) | 7.50 | |
| MRBK | Meridian Bank | (0.33) | 7 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 4.14 | (2.24) | 9.93 | |
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc | (1.01) | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 3.03 | (2.03) | 8.96 | |
| EBMT | Eagle Bancorp Montana | 0.13 | 25 per month | 1.03 | 0.17 | 2.93 | (1.80) | 5.59 | |
| ECBK | ECB Bancorp | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.06 | 0.07 | 2.00 | (1.66) | 11.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for CF Bankshares
For every potential investor in CFBK, whether a beginner or expert, CF Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CFBK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CFBK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CF Bankshares' price trends.CF Bankshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CF Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CF Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CF Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CF Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CF Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CF Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CF Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CF Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CF Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of CF Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CF Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cfbk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8055 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6488 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CF Bankshares
The number of cover stories for CF Bankshares depends on current market conditions and CF Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CF Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CF Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CF Bankshares Short Properties
CF Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when CF Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CF Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CF Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CF Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 244.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy CFBK Stock please use our How to buy in CFBK Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Bankshares. If investors know CFBK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CF Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | Dividend Share 0.29 | Earnings Share 2.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of CF Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CFBK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CF Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CF Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CF Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CF Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CF Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CF Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CF Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.