California First OTC Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

California First Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine California price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for California using various technical indicators. When you analyze California charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for California First - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When California First prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in California First price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of California First National.

California First Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of California First National on the next trading day is expected to be 27.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.89.

California First OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest California First

California First Price Prediction

Research Analysis

California First Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of California First otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent California First otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past California First observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older California First National observations.

Predictive Modules for California First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as California First National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 25.36 27.78 30.20 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 24.05 26.47 28.89 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 26.63 27.62 28.61 Details

California First After-Hype Price Density Analysis

California First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

California First OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

California First Hype Timeline

California First National is currently traded for 27.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. California is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on California First is about 24200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.78. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. California First National last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2021. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of October 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of California First to cross-verify your projections.

California First Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for California First

For every potential investor in California, whether a beginner or expert, California First's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. California OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in California. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying California First's price trends.

California First Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

California First Market Strength Events

California First Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for California First

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in California OTC Stock