Churchill Downs Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index
| CHDN Stock | USD 94.17 1.31 1.37% |
Churchill Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Churchill Downs' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Churchill Downs' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Churchill Downs fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Churchill Downs' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9394 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1124 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8595 | Wall Street Target Price 138.0833 |
Using Churchill Downs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Churchill Downs Incorporated from the perspective of Churchill Downs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Churchill Downs using Churchill Downs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Churchill using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Churchill Downs' stock price.
Churchill Downs Short Interest
An investor who is long Churchill Downs may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Churchill Downs and may potentially protect profits, hedge Churchill Downs with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 101.7475 | Short Percent 0.0379 | Short Ratio 3.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 109.3752 |
Churchill Relative Strength Index
Churchill Downs Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Churchill Downs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Churchill. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Churchill can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Churchill Downs Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Churchill Downs' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Churchill Downs.
Churchill Downs Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Churchill Downs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Churchill Downs Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Churchill Downs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Churchill Downs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Churchill Downs' options are near their expiration.
Churchill Downs after-hype prediction price | USD 95.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Churchill contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Churchill Downs Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Churchill Downs trading at USD 94.17, that is roughly USD 0.0318 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Churchill Downs' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Churchill Downs Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Churchill Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Churchill Downs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Churchill Downs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Churchill Downs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Churchill Downs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Churchill Downs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Churchill Downs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Churchill. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Churchill Downs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Churchill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Churchill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Churchill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Churchill Downs Volatility | Backtest Churchill Downs | Information Ratio |
Churchill Downs Trading Date Momentum
| On February 05 2026 Churchill Downs Incorporated was traded for 94.17 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 94.17 and the lowest listed price was 94.17 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 5, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.39% . |
| Compare Churchill Downs to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Churchill Downs
For every potential investor in Churchill, whether a beginner or expert, Churchill Downs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Churchill Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Churchill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Churchill Downs' price trends.Churchill Downs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Churchill Downs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Churchill Downs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Churchill Downs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Churchill Downs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Churchill Downs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Churchill Downs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Churchill Downs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Churchill Downs Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 94.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 94.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.66) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.31) |
Churchill Downs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Churchill Downs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Churchill Downs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting churchill stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Churchill Downs
The number of cover stories for Churchill Downs depends on current market conditions and Churchill Downs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Churchill Downs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Churchill Downs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Churchill Downs Short Properties
Churchill Downs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Churchill Downs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Churchill Downs Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Churchill Downs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Churchill Downs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 175.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Churchill Downs to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Churchill diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Churchill Downs. Projected growth potential of Churchill fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Churchill Downs data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.409 | Earnings Share 5.5 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
Understanding Churchill Downs requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Churchill's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Churchill Downs' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Churchill Downs' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Churchill Downs' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Churchill Downs should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Churchill Downs' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.