Grupo Cibest Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CIB Stock | USD 83.06 0.17 0.21% |
Grupo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grupo Cibest stock prices and determine the direction of Grupo Cibest SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Cibest's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Grupo Cibest's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 80
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.439 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7714 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8078 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.936 | Wall Street Target Price 59.204 |
Using Grupo Cibest hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Cibest SA from the perspective of Grupo Cibest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grupo Cibest using Grupo Cibest's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grupo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grupo Cibest's stock price.
Grupo Cibest Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Grupo Cibest's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Grupo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Grupo Cibest stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 52.1624 | Short Percent 0.0103 | Short Ratio 3.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 66.3474 |
Grupo Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Cibest SA on the next trading day is expected to be 83.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.99.Grupo Cibest SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Grupo Cibest's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Grupo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Grupo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Grupo Cibest SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Grupo Cibest's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Grupo Cibest.
Grupo Cibest Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Grupo Cibest's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grupo Cibest SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grupo Cibest's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grupo Cibest stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grupo Cibest's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Cibest SA on the next trading day is expected to be 83.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.99. Grupo Cibest after-hype prediction price | USD 84.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Cibest to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grupo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grupo Cibest SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Grupo Cibest trading at USD 83.06, that is roughly USD 0.04 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grupo Cibest's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grupo Cibest SA options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Grupo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Grupo Cibest's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Grupo Cibest's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Grupo Cibest stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Grupo Cibest's open interest, investors have to compare it to Grupo Cibest's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Grupo Cibest is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Grupo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Grupo Cibest Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grupo Cibest Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grupo Cibest SA on the next trading day is expected to be 83.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Cibest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grupo Cibest Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grupo Cibest | Grupo Cibest Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Grupo Cibest Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grupo Cibest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Cibest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.20 and 85.62, respectively. We have considered Grupo Cibest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Cibest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Cibest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1337 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8472 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.987 |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Cibest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Cibest SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Cibest After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grupo Cibest at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Cibest or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grupo Cibest, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grupo Cibest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grupo Cibest's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Cibest's historical news coverage. Grupo Cibest's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.61 and 86.03, respectively. We have considered Grupo Cibest's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grupo Cibest is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Cibest SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grupo Cibest Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Cibest is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Cibest backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Cibest, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 1.71 | 1.43 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
83.06 | 84.32 | 1.73 |
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Grupo Cibest Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Grupo Cibest SA is traded for 83.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Grupo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 84.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 73.08%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Cibest is about 2347.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.10. The company reported the last year's revenue of 42.91 T. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.37 T with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.59 T. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Cibest to cross-verify your projections.Grupo Cibest Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Cibest's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Cibest's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Cibest's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Cibest may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WF | Woori Financial Group | (0.71) | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0.12 | 3.13 | (1.98) | 6.77 | |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | 1.27 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.16 | 2.74 | (1.52) | 9.19 | |
| BSAC | Banco Santander Chile | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.24 | 2.85 | (2.33) | 5.90 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.13 | 2.71 | (1.77) | 7.47 | |
| RF | Regions Financial | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.12 | 3.11 | (1.71) | 6.55 | |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp | (0.59) | 32 per month | 1.15 | 0.06 | 2.98 | (2.04) | 8.17 | |
| VLY | Valley National Bancorp | 0.28 | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.14 | 3.28 | (2.20) | 8.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Cibest
For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Cibest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Cibest's price trends.Grupo Cibest Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Cibest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Cibest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Cibest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grupo Cibest Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Cibest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Cibest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Cibest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Cibest SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grupo Cibest Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grupo Cibest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Cibest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5314 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2824 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grupo Cibest
The number of cover stories for Grupo Cibest depends on current market conditions and Grupo Cibest's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Cibest is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Cibest's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Grupo Cibest Short Properties
Grupo Cibest's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grupo Cibest's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grupo Cibest SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grupo Cibest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Cibest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.1 T |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Cibest to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grupo Cibest. If investors know Grupo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grupo Cibest listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.439 | Earnings Share 8.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.206 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Grupo Cibest SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grupo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grupo Cibest's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grupo Cibest's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grupo Cibest's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grupo Cibest's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Cibest's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Cibest is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Cibest's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.