First Horizon National Stock Price Prediction

FHN Stock  USD 20.93  0.76  3.77%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of First Horizon's share price is above 70 as of today. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling First, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Horizon's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Horizon National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Horizon's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.734
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.38
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5003
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5667
Wall Street Target Price
19.7
Using First Horizon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Horizon National from the perspective of First Horizon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

First Horizon National Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Horizon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Horizon National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Horizon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Horizon.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Horizon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Horizon after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Horizon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2017.8323.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.1320.7623.39
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.6012.7514.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.380.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Horizon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Horizon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Horizon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Horizon National.

First Horizon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Horizon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Horizon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Horizon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Horizon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Horizon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Horizon's historical news coverage. First Horizon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.24 and 23.50, respectively. We have considered First Horizon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.93
20.87
After-hype Price
23.50
Upside
First Horizon is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Horizon National is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Horizon Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Horizon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Horizon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Horizon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
2.63
  0.06 
  0.07 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.93
20.87
0.29 
1,753  
Notes

First Horizon Hype Timeline

On the 24th of November First Horizon National is traded for 20.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on First Horizon is about 1669.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.86. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Horizon National has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 10159:1000 split on the 9th of September 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out First Horizon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Horizon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Horizon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Horizon's future price movements. Getting to know how First Horizon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Horizon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FITBFifth Third Bancorp(0.05)10 per month 0.97  0.08  2.39 (2.01) 10.60 
ZIONZions Bancorporation 0.59 11 per month 1.49  0.10  3.62 (2.89) 20.65 
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated 0.04 7 per month 0.85  0.12  2.87 (2.28) 14.20 
PNCPNC Financial Services(0.80)9 per month 0.87  0.10  2.54 (1.97) 9.52 
CMAComerica(0.22)11 per month 1.36  0.14  3.53 (2.64) 14.10 
CFGCitizens Financial Group,(0.34)9 per month 1.43  0.05  3.18 (2.80) 19.14 
MTBMT Bank 0.93 9 per month 0.83  0.16  3.41 (1.59) 16.03 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation(1.41)11 per month 2.13  0.07  4.19 (3.17) 19.53 

First Horizon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Horizon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Horizon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Horizon National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Horizon based on analysis of First Horizon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Horizon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Horizon's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0410.02720.0356
Price To Sales Ratio2.914.081.96

Story Coverage note for First Horizon

The number of cover stories for First Horizon depends on current market conditions and First Horizon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Horizon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Horizon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Horizon Short Properties

First Horizon's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Horizon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Horizon National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Horizon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Horizon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding561.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
When determining whether First Horizon National offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Horizon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Horizon National Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Horizon National Stock:
Check out First Horizon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Horizon. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Horizon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.734
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.37
Revenue Per Share
5.604
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.186
The market value of First Horizon National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Horizon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Horizon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Horizon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Horizon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Horizon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Horizon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Horizon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.