Cion Investment Stock Forward View
| CION Stock | USD 8.64 0.08 0.93% |
Cion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Cion Investment's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cion Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cion Investment Corp from the perspective of Cion Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cion Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.92. Cion Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 8.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cion Investment to cross-verify your projections. Cion Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cion Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cion Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cion Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cion Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cion Investment | Cion Investment Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cion Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cion Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cion Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.14 and 9.75, respectively. We have considered Cion Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cion Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cion Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1322 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.9216 |
Predictive Modules for Cion Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cion Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cion Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cion Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cion Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cion Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cion Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cion Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cion Investment's historical news coverage. Cion Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.33 and 9.95, respectively. We have considered Cion Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cion Investment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cion Investment Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cion Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cion Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cion Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cion Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.64 | 8.64 | 0.00 |
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Cion Investment Hype Timeline
Cion Investment Corp is currently traded for 8.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Cion is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cion Investment is about 1147.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.62. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cion Investment Corp last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2026. The entity had 1:2 split on the 5th of October 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cion Investment to cross-verify your projections.Cion Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cion Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cion Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Cion Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cion Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.62 | (2.55) | 16.50 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (1.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.10 | (1.72) | 11.51 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.15 | (3.04) | 10.16 | |
| HQL | Tekla Life Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0 | 2.10 | (2.10) | 5.52 | |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0 | 1.40 | (1.23) | 3.47 | |
| CCAP | Crescent Capital BDC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.02 | 2.36 | (1.86) | 5.70 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.69 | (5.73) | 11.74 | |
| CNCK | Coincheck Group NV | 0.03 | 7 per month | 9.64 | 0.04 | 16.07 | (18.78) | 169.72 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.01 | 2.25 | (1.65) | 4.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cion Investment
For every potential investor in Cion, whether a beginner or expert, Cion Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cion Investment's price trends.Cion Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cion Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cion Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cion Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cion Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cion Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cion Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cion Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cion Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cion Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cion Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cion Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cion Investment
The number of cover stories for Cion Investment depends on current market conditions and Cion Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cion Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cion Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cion Investment Short Properties
Cion Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cion Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cion Investment Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cion Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cion Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cion Investment to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Cion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cion Investment guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Cion diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cion Investment. Projected growth potential of Cion fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cion Investment data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Cion Investment Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Cion Investment's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Cion Investment's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cion Investment's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cion Investment should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cion Investment's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.