Cion Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CION Stock | USD 9.32 0.06 0.64% |
Cion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cion Investment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cion Investment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cion Investment fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Cion Investment's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cion Investment, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.243 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.76 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.32 | Wall Street Target Price 10.6667 |
Using Cion Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cion Investment Corp from the perspective of Cion Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cion Investment using Cion Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cion Investment's stock price.
Cion Investment Short Interest
An investor who is long Cion Investment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cion Investment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cion Investment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.7299 | Short Percent 0.0053 | Short Ratio 0.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 407.7 K | 50 Day MA 9.7702 |
Cion Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cion Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96.Cion Investment Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cion Investment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cion Investment Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cion Investment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cion Investment.
Cion Investment Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Cion Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cion Investment Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cion Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cion Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cion Investment's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cion Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96. Cion Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 9.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cion Investment to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cion Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cion Investment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cion Investment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cion Investment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cion Investment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cion Investment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cion Investment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cion Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Cion Investment Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Cion Investment's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2012-06-30 | Previous Quarter 6.5 M | Current Value 29 K | Quarterly Volatility 20 M |
Cion Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cion Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cion Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cion Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cion Investment | Cion Investment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cion Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cion Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cion Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.72 and 10.95, respectively. We have considered Cion Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cion Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cion Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.446 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1305 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.9624 |
Predictive Modules for Cion Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cion Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cion Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cion Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cion Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cion Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cion Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cion Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cion Investment's historical news coverage. Cion Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.66 and 10.90, respectively. We have considered Cion Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cion Investment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cion Investment Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cion Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cion Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cion Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cion Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.32 | 9.28 | 0.00 |
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Cion Investment Hype Timeline
Cion Investment Corp is currently traded for 9.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Cion is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cion Investment is about 680.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.31. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cion Investment Corp last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The entity had 1:2 split on the 5th of October 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cion Investment to cross-verify your projections.Cion Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cion Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cion Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Cion Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cion Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.03 | 2.55 | (2.24) | 8.47 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.07 | 2.09 | (1.72) | 9.50 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.16 | (2.42) | 7.91 | |
| HQL | Tekla Life Sciences | (0.22) | 1 per month | 1.41 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.20) | 6.78 | |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.68 | (0.08) | 1.23 | (1.23) | 3.47 | |
| CCAP | Crescent Capital BDC | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.03 | 2.37 | (2.37) | 6.85 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.12 | 8 per month | 1.48 | 0.02 | 2.49 | (2.11) | 10.10 | |
| CNCK | Coincheck Group NV | (1.46) | 8 per month | 9.52 | 0.02 | 13.73 | (18.78) | 169.72 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | (0.36) | 12 per month | 1.11 | 0.03 | 2.28 | (2.31) | 8.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cion Investment
For every potential investor in Cion, whether a beginner or expert, Cion Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cion Investment's price trends.Cion Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cion Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cion Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cion Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cion Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cion Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cion Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cion Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cion Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cion Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cion Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cion Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cion Investment
The number of cover stories for Cion Investment depends on current market conditions and Cion Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cion Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cion Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cion Investment Short Properties
Cion Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cion Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cion Investment Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cion Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cion Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cion Investment to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Cion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cion Investment guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cion Investment. If investors know Cion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cion Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.243 | Dividend Share 1.44 | Earnings Share 0.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.32 |
The market value of Cion Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cion Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cion Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cion Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cion Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cion Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cion Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cion Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.