Cardinal Health Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CLH Stock | EUR 193.95 19.20 10.99% |
Cardinal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cardinal Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Cardinal Health's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | Wall Street Target Price 57.92 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 |
Using Cardinal Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cardinal Health from the perspective of Cardinal Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is expected to be 178.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.33. Cardinal Health after-hype prediction price | EUR 193.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cardinal |
Cardinal Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cardinal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cardinal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cardinal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cardinal Health Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is expected to be 178.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40, mean absolute percentage error of 30.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cardinal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cardinal Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cardinal Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cardinal Health | Cardinal Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cardinal Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cardinal Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cardinal Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.72 and 180.72, respectively. We have considered Cardinal Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cardinal Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cardinal Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5218 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.3988 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0248 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 268.3274 |
Predictive Modules for Cardinal Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cardinal Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cardinal Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cardinal Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cardinal Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cardinal Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cardinal Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cardinal Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cardinal Health's historical news coverage. Cardinal Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 191.43 and 195.45, respectively. We have considered Cardinal Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cardinal Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cardinal Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cardinal Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cardinal Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cardinal Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cardinal Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.00 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
193.95 | 193.44 | 0.26 |
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Cardinal Health Hype Timeline
Cardinal Health is currently traded for 193.95on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cardinal is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 193.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 70.18%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Cardinal Health is about 70000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 193.95. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. Cardinal Health recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health to cross-verify your projections.Cardinal Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cardinal Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cardinal Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Cardinal Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cardinal Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1ZO | ZhongAn Online P | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.12 | (3.28) | 8.29 | |
| SEH | SHIN ETSU CHEMICAL | 0.25 | 5 per month | 2.34 | 0.01 | 4.12 | (4.02) | 12.77 | |
| WN6 | CARSALESCOM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.75 | (2.54) | 4.80 | |
| WN6 | Carsales | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.76 | (3.00) | 10.28 | |
| SGJH | Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical | 0.01 | 5 per month | 2.76 | 0.07 | 7.14 | (6.67) | 18.25 | |
| MNL | Gruppo Mutuionline SpA | (0.20) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 2.31 | (2.53) | 7.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cardinal Health
For every potential investor in Cardinal, whether a beginner or expert, Cardinal Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cardinal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cardinal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cardinal Health's price trends.Cardinal Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cardinal Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cardinal Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cardinal Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cardinal Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cardinal Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cardinal Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cardinal Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cardinal Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.009 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 10.971429 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.11 | |||
| Day Median Price | 193.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 193.37 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 10.47 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 19.2 |
Cardinal Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cardinal Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cardinal Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cardinal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cardinal Health
The number of cover stories for Cardinal Health depends on current market conditions and Cardinal Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cardinal Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cardinal Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Cardinal Stock please use our How to Invest in Cardinal Health guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.