Core Molding Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CMT Stock  USD 20.05  0.11  0.55%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Core Molding Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.24. Core Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Core Molding's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Core Molding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Core Molding Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Core Molding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.39)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.16
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.68
Wall Street Target Price
22
Using Core Molding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Core Molding Technologies from the perspective of Core Molding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Core Molding Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.24.

Core Molding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Core Molding to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 14.47 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 9.83 in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 16.1 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 6.9 M in 2026.

Core Molding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Core price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Core using various technical indicators. When you analyze Core charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Core Molding price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Core Molding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Core Molding Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 20.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Core Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Core Molding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Core Molding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Core Molding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Core Molding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Core Molding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.07 and 22.68, respectively. We have considered Core Molding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.05
20.38
Expected Value
22.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Core Molding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Core Molding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2978
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5613
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0293
SAESum of the absolute errors34.238
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Core Molding Technologies historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Core Molding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Core Molding Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7620.0522.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7216.0122.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.1519.9921.83
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Core Molding

For every potential investor in Core, whether a beginner or expert, Core Molding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Core Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Core. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Core Molding's price trends.

Core Molding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Core Molding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Core Molding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Core Molding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Core Molding Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Core Molding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Core Molding's current price.

Core Molding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Core Molding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Core Molding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Core Molding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Core Molding Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Core Molding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Core Molding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Core Molding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting core stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Core Stock Analysis

When running Core Molding's price analysis, check to measure Core Molding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Core Molding is operating at the current time. Most of Core Molding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Core Molding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Core Molding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Core Molding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.