Coincheck Group Stock Forward View
| CNCK Stock | USD 2.41 0.03 1.23% |
Coincheck Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Coincheck Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Coincheck Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Coincheck Group fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Coincheck Group's share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coincheck Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.685 | Wall Street Target Price 5.7217 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 |
Using Coincheck Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coincheck Group NV from the perspective of Coincheck Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Coincheck Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coincheck Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.82.Coincheck Group NV Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Coincheck Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Coincheck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coincheck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Coincheck Group NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Coincheck Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Coincheck Group.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coincheck Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.82. Coincheck Group after-hype prediction price | USD 2.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Coincheck Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coincheck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coincheck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coincheck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coincheck Group Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Coincheck Group's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2015-06-30 | Previous Quarter 9 B | Current Value 10.6 B | Quarterly Volatility 6.8 B |
Coincheck Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coincheck Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coincheck Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coincheck Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coincheck Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coincheck Group | Coincheck Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Coincheck Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coincheck Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coincheck Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 11.84, respectively. We have considered Coincheck Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coincheck Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coincheck Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7153 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2229 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0716 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.8181 |
Predictive Modules for Coincheck Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coincheck Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coincheck Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coincheck Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coincheck Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coincheck Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coincheck Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coincheck Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coincheck Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coincheck Group's historical news coverage. Coincheck Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 12.09, respectively. We have considered Coincheck Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coincheck Group is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coincheck Group NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coincheck Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coincheck Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coincheck Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coincheck Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.46 | 9.51 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.41 | 2.50 | 3.73 |
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Coincheck Group Hype Timeline
Coincheck Group NV is currently traded for 2.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Coincheck is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 3.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.46%. The volatility of related hype on Coincheck Group is about 22116.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.47. Coincheck Group NV currently holds 45.76 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 23.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coincheck Group to cross-verify your projections.Coincheck Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coincheck Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coincheck Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Coincheck Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coincheck Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CION | Cion Investment Corp | 0.29 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.53 | (2.55) | 5.26 | |
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.62 | (2.95) | 16.50 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.33 | (5.73) | 12.05 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | 0.40 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.04 | (1.73) | 8.85 | |
| HQL | Tekla Life Sciences | 0.06 | 2 per month | 1.07 | (0.04) | 1.80 | (2.11) | 5.46 | |
| ALTI | Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings | 0.03 | 7 per month | 3.77 | 0.03 | 5.08 | (4.95) | 21.63 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.15 | (3.04) | 10.16 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.02 | (0.06) | 2.25 | (1.65) | 4.78 | |
| FFWM | First Foundation | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.87 | 0.12 | 3.52 | (3.06) | 12.75 | |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.81 | (0.07) | 1.48 | (1.25) | 3.49 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coincheck Group
For every potential investor in Coincheck, whether a beginner or expert, Coincheck Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coincheck Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coincheck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coincheck Group's price trends.Coincheck Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coincheck Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coincheck Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coincheck Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coincheck Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coincheck Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coincheck Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coincheck Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coincheck Group NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Coincheck Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coincheck Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coincheck Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coincheck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 20.02 | |||
| Variance | 400.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 108.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 95.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coincheck Group
The number of cover stories for Coincheck Group depends on current market conditions and Coincheck Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coincheck Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coincheck Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Coincheck Group Short Properties
Coincheck Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coincheck Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coincheck Group NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coincheck Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coincheck Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coincheck Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coincheck Group. Projected growth potential of Coincheck fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Coincheck Group assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Coincheck Group NV requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Coincheck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Coincheck Group's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Coincheck Group's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Coincheck Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Coincheck Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Coincheck Group's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.