Cooper Companies Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

COO Stock  USD 80.37  1.01  1.24%   
Cooper Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cooper Companies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cooper Companies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cooper Companies fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cooper Companies' share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cooper Companies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cooper Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Cooper Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cooper Companies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.5069
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.9568
Wall Street Target Price
91.0625
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.1143
Using Cooper Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Cooper Companies from the perspective of Cooper Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cooper Companies using Cooper Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cooper using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cooper Companies' stock price.

Cooper Companies Short Interest

An investor who is long Cooper Companies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cooper Companies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cooper Companies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
74.7018
Short Percent
0.0383
Short Ratio
3.15
Shares Short Prior Month
7.9 M
50 Day MA
80.199

Cooper Relative Strength Index

The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 79.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.62.

Cooper Companies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cooper Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cooper. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cooper can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Cooper Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cooper Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cooper Companies.

Cooper Companies Implied Volatility

    
  0.55  
Cooper Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Cooper Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cooper Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cooper Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cooper Companies' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 79.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.62.

Cooper Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 80.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cooper contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Cooper Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cooper Companies trading at USD 80.37, that is roughly USD 0.0276 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cooper Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Cooper Companies options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cooper Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cooper Companies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cooper Companies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cooper Companies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cooper Companies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Cooper Companies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cooper Companies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cooper. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Cooper Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cooper price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cooper using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cooper charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cooper Companies polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for The Cooper Companies as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Cooper Companies Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 79.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cooper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cooper Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cooper Companies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cooper Companies  Cooper Companies Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Cooper Companies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cooper Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cooper Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.46 and 80.73, respectively. We have considered Cooper Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
80.37
79.09
Expected Value
80.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cooper Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cooper Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4031
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9119
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors55.6235
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Cooper Companies historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Cooper Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cooper Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.6380.2781.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.3384.7686.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.7682.0084.24
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.8791.06101.08
Details

Cooper Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cooper Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cooper Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cooper Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cooper Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cooper Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cooper Companies' historical news coverage. Cooper Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.63 and 81.91, respectively. We have considered Cooper Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
80.37
80.27
After-hype Price
81.91
Upside
Cooper Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cooper Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cooper Companies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cooper Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cooper Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cooper Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.64
  0.10 
  0.10 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
80.37
80.27
0.12 
390.48  
Notes

Cooper Companies Hype Timeline

On the 1st of February Cooper Companies is traded for 80.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Cooper is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 80.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Cooper Companies is about 378.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.27. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cooper Companies has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of July 2023. The firm had 4:1 split on the 20th of February 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections.

Cooper Companies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cooper Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cooper Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Cooper Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cooper Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NBIXNeurocrine Biosciences(1.89)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.45 (3.45) 12.11 
HOLXHologic(0.02)11 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.32 (0.20) 1.03 
ICLRICON PLC 4.72 10 per month 2.25  0.02  4.70 (3.51) 13.31 
UHSUniversal Health Services(5.19)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.49 (2.94) 8.92 
TEMTempus AI Class(2.58)11 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.61 (5.14) 16.51 
SNNSmith Nephew SNATS(0.18)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.40 (1.94) 14.66 
SOLVSolventum Corp 0.25 10 per month 1.61  0.04  2.91 (2.08) 14.51 
SMMTSummit Therapeutics PLC 0.04 12 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.41 (5.97) 23.61 
FMSFresenius Medical Care(0.03)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.00 (3.83) 10.14 
DOCSDoximity 0.55 9 per month 0.00 (0.30) 2.38 (5.70) 19.10 

Other Forecasting Options for Cooper Companies

For every potential investor in Cooper, whether a beginner or expert, Cooper Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cooper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cooper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cooper Companies' price trends.

Cooper Companies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cooper Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cooper Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cooper Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cooper Companies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cooper Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cooper Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cooper Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Cooper Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cooper Companies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cooper Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cooper Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cooper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cooper Companies

The number of cover stories for Cooper Companies depends on current market conditions and Cooper Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cooper Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cooper Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cooper Companies Short Properties

Cooper Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cooper Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Cooper Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cooper Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cooper Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding200 M
Cash And Short Term Investments110.6 M
When determining whether Cooper Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cooper Companies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Cooper Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Cooper Companies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Cooper diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cooper Companies. Projected growth potential of Cooper fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cooper Companies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Earnings Share
1.87
Revenue Per Share
20.554
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.046
Return On Assets
0.0347
Investors evaluate Cooper Companies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Cooper Companies' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Cooper Companies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cooper Companies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cooper Companies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cooper Companies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.