Cooper Companies Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| COO Stock | USD 82.10 2.00 2.50% |
Cooper Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Cooper Companies' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cooper Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Cooper Companies from the perspective of Cooper Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 84.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.54. Cooper Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 82.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections. Cooper Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cooper price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cooper using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cooper charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cooper Companies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of The Cooper Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 84.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25, mean absolute percentage error of 6.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cooper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cooper Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cooper Companies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cooper Companies | Cooper Companies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cooper Companies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cooper Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cooper Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.71 and 86.06, respectively. We have considered Cooper Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cooper Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cooper Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.028 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2548 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0285 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 137.5418 |
Predictive Modules for Cooper Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cooper Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cooper Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cooper Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cooper Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cooper Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cooper Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cooper Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cooper Companies' historical news coverage. Cooper Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.53 and 83.89, respectively. We have considered Cooper Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cooper Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cooper Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cooper Companies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cooper Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cooper Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cooper Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
82.10 | 82.21 | 0.13 |
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Cooper Companies Hype Timeline
On the 8th of February Cooper Companies is traded for 82.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Cooper is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 82.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Cooper Companies is about 369.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.21. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.09 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 374.9 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.68 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections.Cooper Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cooper Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cooper Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Cooper Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cooper Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NBIX | Neurocrine Biosciences | 1.80 | 10 per month | 1.78 | (0.04) | 2.38 | (3.43) | 12.11 | |
| HOLX | Hologic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.11 | (0.43) | 0.32 | (0.23) | 1.03 | |
| ICLR | ICON PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.70 | (3.63) | 16.93 | |
| UHS | Universal Health Services | 2.54 | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.05) | 2.54 | (2.87) | 8.92 | |
| TEM | Tempus AI Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.61 | (4.95) | 14.02 | |
| SNN | Smith Nephew SNATS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | (0.01) | 2.29 | (1.68) | 8.41 | |
| SOLV | Solventum Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.04 | 2.87 | (1.77) | 10.87 | |
| SMMT | Summit Therapeutics PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.49 | (5.97) | 23.61 | |
| FMS | Fresenius Medical Care | 0.21 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.04 | (3.83) | 10.14 | |
| DOCS | Doximity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 2.38 | (5.92) | 25.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cooper Companies
For every potential investor in Cooper, whether a beginner or expert, Cooper Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cooper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cooper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cooper Companies' price trends.Cooper Companies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cooper Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cooper Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cooper Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cooper Companies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cooper Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cooper Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cooper Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Cooper Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cooper Companies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cooper Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cooper Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cooper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cooper Companies
The number of cover stories for Cooper Companies depends on current market conditions and Cooper Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cooper Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cooper Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cooper Companies Short Properties
Cooper Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cooper Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Cooper Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cooper Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cooper Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cooper Companies to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Cooper diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cooper Companies. Projected growth potential of Cooper fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cooper Companies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Cooper Companies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Cooper Companies' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Cooper Companies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cooper Companies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cooper Companies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cooper Companies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.