Cementos Pacasmayo Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CPAC Stock | USD 11.16 0.18 1.64% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA on the next trading day is expected to be 11.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.60. Cementos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cementos Pacasmayo stock prices and determine the direction of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cementos Pacasmayo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Cementos Pacasmayo's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.143 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.038 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.148 | Wall Street Target Price 9.2667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.109 |
Using Cementos Pacasmayo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA from the perspective of Cementos Pacasmayo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA on the next trading day is expected to be 11.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.60. Cementos Pacasmayo after-hype prediction price | USD 11.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cementos Pacasmayo to cross-verify your projections. Cementos Pacasmayo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cementos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cementos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cementos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cementos Pacasmayo Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA on the next trading day is expected to be 11.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cementos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cementos Pacasmayo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cementos Pacasmayo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cementos Pacasmayo | Cementos Pacasmayo Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cementos Pacasmayo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cementos Pacasmayo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cementos Pacasmayo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.31 and 18.40, respectively. We have considered Cementos Pacasmayo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cementos Pacasmayo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cementos Pacasmayo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9369 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7312 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0952 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.6031 |
Predictive Modules for Cementos Pacasmayo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cementos Pacasmayo SAA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cementos Pacasmayo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cementos Pacasmayo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cementos Pacasmayo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cementos Pacasmayo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cementos Pacasmayo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cementos Pacasmayo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cementos Pacasmayo's historical news coverage. Cementos Pacasmayo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.05 and 18.15, respectively. We have considered Cementos Pacasmayo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cementos Pacasmayo is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cementos Pacasmayo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cementos Pacasmayo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cementos Pacasmayo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cementos Pacasmayo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.00 | 7.05 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.16 | 11.10 | 0.54 |
|
Cementos Pacasmayo Hype Timeline
Cementos Pacasmayo SAA is currently traded for 11.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Cementos is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.0%. The volatility of related hype on Cementos Pacasmayo is about 5381.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.03. The book value of the company was currently reported as 0.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Cementos Pacasmayo SAA last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The entity had 797:1000 split on the 3rd of March 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cementos Pacasmayo to cross-verify your projections.Cementos Pacasmayo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cementos Pacasmayo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cementos Pacasmayo's future price movements. Getting to know how Cementos Pacasmayo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cementos Pacasmayo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.04 | 2.81 | (1.86) | 8.30 | |
| GTI | GTI | (0.04) | 7 per month | 14.30 | 0.03 | 19.74 | (10.95) | 128.11 | |
| LAR | Lithium Argentina AG | 0.08 | 10 per month | 3.00 | 0.24 | 9.27 | (5.96) | 22.80 | |
| SLI | Standard Lithium | 0.05 | 6 per month | 4.00 | 0.1 | 6.94 | (6.11) | 17.30 | |
| CMP | Compass Minerals International | (0.28) | 9 per month | 3.18 | 0.14 | 4.98 | (3.43) | 19.48 | |
| TMQ | Trilogy Metals | 0.32 | 9 per month | 5.12 | 0.01 | 7.81 | (7.64) | 32.56 | |
| GPRE | Green Plains Renewable | (0.30) | 10 per month | 4.21 | 0.01 | 7.63 | (5.62) | 27.29 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | 0.19 | 8 per month | 2.72 | 0.06 | 5.58 | (4.70) | 12.10 | |
| SGML | Sigma Lithium Resources | (1.41) | 9 per month | 6.77 | 0.16 | 15.91 | (13.89) | 48.40 | |
| LWLG | Lightwave Logic | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.03 | (9.16) | 31.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cementos Pacasmayo
For every potential investor in Cementos, whether a beginner or expert, Cementos Pacasmayo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cementos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cementos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cementos Pacasmayo's price trends.Cementos Pacasmayo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cementos Pacasmayo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cementos Pacasmayo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cementos Pacasmayo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cementos Pacasmayo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cementos Pacasmayo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cementos Pacasmayo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cementos Pacasmayo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cementos Pacasmayo SAA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cementos Pacasmayo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cementos Pacasmayo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cementos Pacasmayo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cementos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.83 | |||
| Variance | 46.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cementos Pacasmayo
The number of cover stories for Cementos Pacasmayo depends on current market conditions and Cementos Pacasmayo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cementos Pacasmayo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cementos Pacasmayo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Cementos Pacasmayo Short Properties
Cementos Pacasmayo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cementos Pacasmayo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cementos Pacasmayo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cementos Pacasmayo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cementos Pacasmayo to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cementos Pacasmayo. If investors know Cementos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cementos Pacasmayo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.143 | Dividend Share 0.41 | Earnings Share 0.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.109 |
The market value of Cementos Pacasmayo SAA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cementos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cementos Pacasmayo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cementos Pacasmayo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cementos Pacasmayo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cementos Pacasmayo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cementos Pacasmayo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cementos Pacasmayo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cementos Pacasmayo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.