Central Plains Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CPBI Stock | 17.51 0.10 0.57% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.27. Central Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Central Plains' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Central Plains' stock price is under 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Central, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Wall Street Target Price 61.12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.106 |
Using Central Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Plains Bancshares from the perspective of Central Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.27. Central Plains after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections. Central Plains Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Central Plains Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Plains' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Central Plains Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Central Plains | Central Plains Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Central Plains Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Central Plains' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Plains' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.55 and 18.43, respectively. We have considered Central Plains' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Plains stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Plains stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2033 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0326 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1027 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2672 |
Predictive Modules for Central Plains
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Plains Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Plains After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Central Plains at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Plains or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Plains, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Central Plains Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Central Plains' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Plains' historical news coverage. Central Plains' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.93, respectively. We have considered Central Plains' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Central Plains is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Plains Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Central Plains Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Plains backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Plains, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.94 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Central Plains Hype Timeline
Central Plains Bancshares is currently traded for 17.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Central is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Central Plains is about 3916.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.51. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Central Plains Bancshares had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections.Central Plains Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Central Plains' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Plains' future price movements. Getting to know how Central Plains' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Plains may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OAKU | Oak Woods Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.68 | (0.11) | 1.24 | (1.07) | 6.66 | |
| AFJK | Aimei Health Technology | 0.11 | 10 per month | 12.34 | 0.13 | 60.89 | (22.49) | 1,067 | |
| BAYA | Bayview Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.52 | (0.08) | 1.89 | (1.18) | 4.21 | |
| FUSB | First Bancshares | 0.10 | 11 per month | 1.61 | 0.10 | 2.98 | (2.82) | 13.31 | |
| RIBBU | Ribbon Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (1.02) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.96 | |
| BOTJ | Bank of the | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 2.78 | (2.51) | 9.56 | |
| ORIQU | Origin Investment Corp | (0.07) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.88 | (1.14) | 4.07 | |
| IOR | Income Opportunity Realty | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.59 | (0.02) | 3.49 | (2.62) | 17.00 | |
| DAIC | CID HoldCo Common | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 8.39 | (17.65) | 55.68 | |
| RIBB | Ribbon Acquisition Corp | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.19 | (0.23) | 0.48 | (0.29) | 2.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Central Plains
For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Plains' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Plains' price trends.Central Plains Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Plains stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Plains could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Plains by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Central Plains Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Plains stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Plains Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Central Plains Risk Indicators
The analysis of Central Plains' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Plains' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5729 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8755 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8996 | |||
| Variance | 0.8093 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7664 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Central Plains
The number of cover stories for Central Plains depends on current market conditions and Central Plains' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Plains is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Plains' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Central Plains Short Properties
Central Plains' future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Plains' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Plains Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Plains. If investors know Central will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Central Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Earnings Share 0.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.106 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Central Plains Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Central that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Central Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Central Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Central Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Central Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Central Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Central Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Central Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.