Central Plains Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CPBI Stock   17.11  0.06  0.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.08. Central Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Central Plains' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Central Plains' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Central Plains' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Central Plains Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Central Plains' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
61.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Using Central Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Plains Bancshares from the perspective of Central Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.08.

Central Plains after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections.
The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 1.36. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 4.12. The Central Plains' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 6.1 M.

Central Plains Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Central Plains Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Central Plains' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
33 M
Current Value
34.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
16.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Central Plains is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Central Plains Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Central Plains Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Plains' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Central Plains Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Central PlainsCentral Plains Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Central Plains Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Central Plains' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Plains' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.09 and 17.99, respectively. We have considered Central Plains' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.11
17.04
Expected Value
17.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Plains stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Plains stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9876
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0996
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0776
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Central Plains Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Central Plains. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Central Plains

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Plains Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1717.1218.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7816.7317.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.7116.5317.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Central Plains. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Central Plains' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Central Plains' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Central Plains Bancshares.

Other Forecasting Options for Central Plains

For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Plains' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Plains' price trends.

Central Plains Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Plains stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Plains could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Plains by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Central Plains Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Central Plains' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Central Plains' current price.

Central Plains Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Plains stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Plains Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Central Plains Risk Indicators

The analysis of Central Plains' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Plains' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Central Plains Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Central Plains' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Central Plains Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Central Plains Bancshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Plains. If investors know Central will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Central Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Earnings Share
0.96
Revenue Per Share
5.253
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Return On Assets
0.0074
The market value of Central Plains Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Central that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Central Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Central Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Central Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Central Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Central Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Central Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Central Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.