Central Plains Stock Forward View

CPBI Stock   17.65  0.09  0.51%   
Central Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Central Plains' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Central Plains' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Central Plains' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Central Plains Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Central Plains' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
61.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Using Central Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Plains Bancshares from the perspective of Central Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.34.

Central Plains after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections.

Central Plains Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Central Plains Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Central Plains' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
33 M
Current Value
34.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
16.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Central Plains is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Central Plains Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Central Plains Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Central Plains Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Plains' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Central Plains Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Central Plains  Central Plains Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Central Plains Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Central Plains' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Plains' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.55 and 18.73, respectively. We have considered Central Plains' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.65
17.64
Expected Value
18.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Plains stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Plains stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7522
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0862
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3428
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Central Plains Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Central Plains. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Central Plains

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Plains Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5917.6818.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0617.1518.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.8716.8717.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Central Plains. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Central Plains' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Central Plains' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Central Plains Bancshares.

Central Plains After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Central Plains at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Plains or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Plains, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Central Plains Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Central Plains' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Plains' historical news coverage. Central Plains' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.59 and 18.77, respectively. We have considered Central Plains' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.65
17.68
After-hype Price
18.77
Upside
Central Plains is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Plains Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Central Plains Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Plains backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Plains, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.09
  0.03 
  1.33 
7 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.65
17.68
0.17 
726.67  
Notes

Central Plains Hype Timeline

Central Plains Bancshares is currently traded for 17.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.33. Central is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Central Plains is about 13.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.9 M. Net Income was 3.65 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.96 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections.

Central Plains Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Central Plains' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Plains' future price movements. Getting to know how Central Plains' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Plains may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OAKUOak Woods Acquisition 0.00 5 per month 0.61  0.01  1.24 (1.07) 6.66 
AFJKAimei Health Technology 78.82 10 per month 12.45  0.13  60.89 (22.49) 1,067 
BAYABayview Acquisition Corp 0.00 6 per month 0.33  0.06  0.78 (1.01) 4.21 
FUSBFirst Bancshares(0.22)10 per month 1.60  0.16  4.47 (3.07) 13.31 
RIBBURibbon Acquisition Corp 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.74) 0.00  0.00  0.57 
BOTJBank of the(0.12)10 per month 1.16  0.20  3.12 (2.51) 9.56 
ORIQUOrigin Investment Corp 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.88 (1.14) 4.07 
IORIncome Opportunity Realty 0.00 7 per month 1.57 (0) 3.49 (2.62) 17.00 
DAICCID HoldCo Common(0.02)5 per month 0.00 (0.29) 8.39 (17.65) 55.68 
RIBBRibbon Acquisition Corp(0.03)6 per month 0.19 (0.06) 0.48 (0.29) 2.65 

Other Forecasting Options for Central Plains

For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Plains' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Plains' price trends.

Central Plains Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Plains stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Plains could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Plains by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Central Plains Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Plains stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Plains Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Central Plains Risk Indicators

The analysis of Central Plains' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Plains' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Central Plains

The number of cover stories for Central Plains depends on current market conditions and Central Plains' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Plains is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Plains' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Central Plains Short Properties

Central Plains' future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Plains' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Plains Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments80.8 M
When determining whether Central Plains Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Central Plains' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Central Plains Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Central Plains Bancshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Central Plains to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is there potential for Asset Management & Custody Banks market expansion? Will Central introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Central Plains. Projected growth potential of Central fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Central Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Earnings Share
0.96
Revenue Per Share
5.253
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Return On Assets
0.0074
Central Plains Bancshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Central's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Central Plains' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Central Plains' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Central Plains' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Central Plains should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Central Plains' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.