Cricut Stock Forward View

CRCT Stock  USD 4.55  0.00  0.00%   
Cricut Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Cricut's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cricut, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cricut's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cricut Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cricut's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.933
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0211
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3474
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.1747
Wall Street Target Price
3.5
Using Cricut hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cricut Inc from the perspective of Cricut response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cricut using Cricut's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cricut using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cricut's stock price.

Cricut Short Interest

An investor who is long Cricut may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cricut and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cricut with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.4905
Short Percent
0.1259
Short Ratio
12.74
Shares Short Prior Month
6.2 M
50 Day MA
4.8162

Cricut Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cricut Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.82.

Cricut Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cricut's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cricut. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cricut can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cricut Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cricut's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cricut.

Cricut Implied Volatility

    
  2.01  
Cricut's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cricut Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cricut's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cricut stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cricut's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cricut Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.82.

Cricut after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cricut to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cricut Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cricut's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cricut's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cricut stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cricut's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cricut's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cricut is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cricut. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Cricut Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cricut price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cricut using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cricut charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Cricut's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-12-31
Previous Quarter
298.1 M
Current Value
187.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
92.9 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Cricut is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cricut Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cricut Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cricut Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cricut Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cricut's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cricut Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cricut  Cricut Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cricut Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cricut's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cricut's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.64 and 6.68, respectively. We have considered Cricut's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.55
4.66
Expected Value
6.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cricut stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cricut stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0789
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors4.8153
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cricut Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cricut. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cricut

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cricut Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cricut's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.534.556.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.044.066.08
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.193.503.89
Details

Cricut After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cricut at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cricut or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cricut, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cricut Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cricut's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cricut's historical news coverage. Cricut's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.53 and 6.57, respectively. We have considered Cricut's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.55
4.55
After-hype Price
6.57
Upside
Cricut is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cricut Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cricut Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cricut is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cricut backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cricut, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.02
 0.00  
 0.00  
12 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.55
4.55
0.00 
10,100  
Notes

Cricut Hype Timeline

Cricut Inc is currently traded for 4.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cricut is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cricut is about 101000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.55. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cricut was currently reported as 1.69. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cricut to cross-verify your projections.

Cricut Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cricut's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cricut's future price movements. Getting to know how Cricut's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cricut may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UPBDUpbound Group(0.16)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.61 (4.18) 17.73 
RCATRed Cat Holdings 0.59 9 per month 6.01  0.06  13.68 (8.85) 30.27 
TASKTaskus Inc(0.08)7 per month 0.00 (0.22) 2.20 (3.45) 10.92 
HLITHarmonic 0.18 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.24 (3.80) 11.35 
SSYSStratasys 0.14 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.15 (4.13) 18.53 
YALAYalla Group 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.40 (3.20) 14.49 
GCTGigaCloud Technology Class(0.49)8 per month 2.86  0.12  6.24 (6.01) 39.06 
COHUCohu Inc(0.05)9 per month 2.20  0.11  4.45 (4.13) 11.82 
CRSRCorsair Gaming 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 3.87 (4.94) 15.17 
CTSCTS Corporation(0.22)8 per month 1.78  0.13  3.37 (3.10) 8.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Cricut

For every potential investor in Cricut, whether a beginner or expert, Cricut's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cricut Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cricut. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cricut's price trends.

Cricut Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cricut stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cricut could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cricut by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cricut Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cricut stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cricut shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cricut stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cricut Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cricut Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cricut's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cricut's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cricut stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cricut

The number of cover stories for Cricut depends on current market conditions and Cricut's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cricut is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cricut's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cricut Short Properties

Cricut's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cricut's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cricut Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cricut's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cricut's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments336.9 M

Additional Tools for Cricut Stock Analysis

When running Cricut's price analysis, check to measure Cricut's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cricut is operating at the current time. Most of Cricut's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cricut's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cricut's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cricut to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.