Harmonic Stock Price Prediction
| HLIT Stock | USD 12.47 0.08 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 13.465 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.926 | Wall Street Target Price 14.9286 |
Using Harmonic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Harmonic from the perspective of Harmonic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Harmonic Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Harmonic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Harmonic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Harmonic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Harmonic. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Harmonic's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Harmonic.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Harmonic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Harmonic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Harmonic after-hype prediction price | USD 12.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Harmonic |
Harmonic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Harmonic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Harmonic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Harmonic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Harmonic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Harmonic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Harmonic's historical news coverage. Harmonic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.69 and 16.17, respectively. We have considered Harmonic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Harmonic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Harmonic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Harmonic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Harmonic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Harmonic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Harmonic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 3.74 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.47 | 12.43 | 0.32 |
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Harmonic Hype Timeline
Harmonic is currently traded for 12.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Harmonic is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Harmonic is about 1398.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.43. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Harmonic was currently reported as 3.68. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Harmonic had 2:1 split on the 15th of October 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Harmonic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Harmonic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Harmonic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Harmonic's future price movements. Getting to know how Harmonic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Harmonic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTGR | NETGEAR | 1.19 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.14 | 5.28 | (3.74) | 34.60 | |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks | (1.90) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.57 | (0.80) | 5.98 | |
| DGII | Digi International | (0.99) | 9 per month | 1.69 | 0.05 | 3.55 | (3.10) | 11.66 | |
| CLFD | Clearfield | 0.49 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.15 | (4.79) | 10.81 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | (0.72) | 10 per month | 6.36 | 0.02 | 12.63 | (7.40) | 40.77 | |
| DZSI | DZS Inc | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 8.73 | (20.00) | 63.79 | |
| KVHI | KVH Industries | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.06 | 4.42 | (2.92) | 10.42 | |
| AVNW | Aviat Networks | 0.81 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.64 | (5.01) | 52.00 | |
| COMM | CommScope Holding Co | (0.1) | 8 per month | 5.85 | 0.05 | 8.17 | (6.66) | 35.50 | |
| KN | Knowles Cor | 0.64 | 7 per month | 1.73 | (0.01) | 2.67 | (3.10) | 12.11 | |
| EXTR | Extreme Networks | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.11 | 0.01 | 3.95 | (3.30) | 18.17 | |
| SATS | EchoStar | (2.79) | 11 per month | 3.76 | 0.06 | 8.94 | (4.05) | 33.92 |
Harmonic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Harmonic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Harmonic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Harmonic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Harmonic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Harmonic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Harmonic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harmonic based on analysis of Harmonic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Harmonic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Harmonic's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 69.55 | 66.59 | 87.84 | 59.1 | PTB Ratio | 4.02 | 4.24 | 3.33 | 3.75 |
Story Coverage note for Harmonic
The number of cover stories for Harmonic depends on current market conditions and Harmonic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Harmonic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Harmonic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Harmonic Short Properties
Harmonic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Harmonic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Harmonic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Harmonic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harmonic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84.3 M |
Additional Tools for Harmonic Stock Analysis
When running Harmonic's price analysis, check to measure Harmonic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmonic is operating at the current time. Most of Harmonic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmonic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmonic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmonic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.