Carters Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CRI Stock | USD 34.61 1.00 2.98% |
Carters Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Carters' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Carters' share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Carters, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Carters hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carters from the perspective of Carters response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Carters on the next trading day is expected to be 34.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.78. Carters after-hype prediction price | USD 33.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carters to cross-verify your projections. Carters Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carters price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carters using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carters charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Carters Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Carters on the next trading day is expected to be 34.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carters Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carters' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Carters Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Carters | Carters Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Carters Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Carters' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carters' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.65 and 37.39, respectively. We have considered Carters' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carters stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carters stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1441 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7759 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.7761 |
Predictive Modules for Carters
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carters After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carters at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carters or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carters, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carters Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carters' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carters' historical news coverage. Carters' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.74 and 36.48, respectively. We have considered Carters' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carters is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carters is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carters Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carters is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carters backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carters, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.87 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.61 | 33.61 | 0.00 |
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Carters Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Carters is traded for 34.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Carters is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carters is about 4100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.63. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Carters has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of June 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carters to cross-verify your projections.Carters Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carters' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carters' future price movements. Getting to know how Carters' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carters may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BH | Biglari Holdings | (0.84) | 8 per month | 4.10 | 0.02 | 5.21 | (4.09) | 21.12 | |
| GIII | G III Apparel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.04 | 3.85 | (2.62) | 9.35 | |
| LOT | Lotus Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.63 | (6.38) | 29.19 | |
| HDL | SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL | 2.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.55 | (4.48) | 9.69 | |
| LVWR | LiveWire Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.50 | (10.10) | 25.22 | |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | (0.34) | 8 per month | 1.56 | 0 | 4.56 | (3.08) | 10.63 | |
| LEG | Leggett Platt Incorporated | (0.34) | 3 per month | 1.28 | 0.15 | 3.84 | (2.86) | 19.69 | |
| THRM | Gentherm | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.44 | (3.01) | 10.71 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.52 | 0.10 | 0.54 | (0.71) | 1,100 |
Other Forecasting Options for Carters
For every potential investor in Carters, whether a beginner or expert, Carters' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carters Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carters. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carters' price trends.Carters Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carters stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carters by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Carters Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carters stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carters shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carters stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Carters entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Carters Risk Indicators
The analysis of Carters' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Carters' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carters stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Variance | 8.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Carters
The number of cover stories for Carters depends on current market conditions and Carters' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carters is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carters' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Carters Short Properties
Carters' future price predictability will typically decrease when Carters' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carters often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carters' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carters' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 412.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carters to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Carters Stock please use our How to Invest in Carters guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Carters introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carters. Projected growth potential of Carters fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Carters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Carters requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Carters's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Carters' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Carters' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carters' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carters should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Carters' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.