Carters Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CRI Stock  USD 36.43  0.80  2.25%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Carters on the next trading day is expected to be 38.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.17. Carters Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Carters' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Carters' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Carters' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Carters, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Carters hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carters from the perspective of Carters response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Carters on the next trading day is expected to be 38.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.17.

Carters after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carters to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Carters Stock please use our How to Invest in Carters guide.

Carters Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Carters price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carters using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carters charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Carters is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Carters value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Carters Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Carters on the next trading day is expected to be 38.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carters Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carters' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Carters Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CartersCarters Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Carters Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Carters' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carters' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.41 and 40.63, respectively. We have considered Carters' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.43
38.02
Expected Value
40.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carters stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carters stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0362
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7241
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0231
SAESum of the absolute errors44.1688
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Carters. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Carters. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Carters

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2335.8538.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.2433.8636.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Carters

For every potential investor in Carters, whether a beginner or expert, Carters' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carters Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carters. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carters' price trends.

Carters Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carters stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carters by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Carters Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Carters' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Carters' current price.

Carters Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carters stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carters shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carters stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Carters entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Carters Risk Indicators

The analysis of Carters' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Carters' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting carters stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Carters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Carters' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Carters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Carters Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carters to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Carters Stock please use our How to Invest in Carters guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carters. If investors know Carters will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Carters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carters that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.