Crocs Stock Forward View
| CROX Stock | USD 86.31 2.39 2.85% |
Crocs Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Crocs' share price is at 52 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Crocs, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7473 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.1348 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.9468 | Wall Street Target Price 89.75 |
Using Crocs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crocs Inc from the perspective of Crocs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crocs using Crocs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crocs using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crocs' stock price.
Crocs Short Interest
An investor who is long Crocs may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Crocs and may potentially protect profits, hedge Crocs with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 91.1687 | Short Percent 0.1369 | Short Ratio 4.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 85.9412 |
Crocs Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crocs Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 84.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.32.Crocs Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Crocs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Crocs. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Crocs can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Crocs Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Crocs' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Crocs.
Crocs Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
Crocs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crocs Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crocs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crocs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crocs' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crocs Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 84.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.32. Crocs after-hype prediction price | USD 87.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crocs to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Crocs contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Crocs Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Crocs trading at USD 86.31, that is roughly USD 0.0361 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Crocs' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Crocs Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Crocs Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crocs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crocs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crocs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crocs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Crocs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crocs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crocs. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Crocs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crocs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crocs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crocs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Crocs' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-12-31 | Previous Quarter 200.6 M | Current Value 154 M | Quarterly Volatility 95.5 M |
Crocs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crocs Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 84.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crocs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crocs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crocs Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crocs | Crocs Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Crocs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crocs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crocs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.46 and 87.07, respectively. We have considered Crocs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crocs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crocs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9323 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.284 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.3246 |
Predictive Modules for Crocs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crocs Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crocs After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crocs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crocs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crocs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crocs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crocs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crocs' historical news coverage. Crocs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.27 and 89.87, respectively. We have considered Crocs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crocs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crocs Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crocs Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crocs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crocs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crocs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.30 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
86.31 | 87.57 | 0.24 |
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Crocs Hype Timeline
Crocs Inc is currently traded for 86.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Crocs is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 87.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 190.08%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Crocs is about 209.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.50. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Crocs was currently reported as 26.03. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Crocs Inc had 2:1 split on the 15th of June 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crocs to cross-verify your projections.Crocs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crocs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crocs' future price movements. Getting to know how Crocs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crocs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOOO | BRP Inc | 0.05 | 4 per month | 1.47 | 0.1 | 4.39 | (2.13) | 8.88 | |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp | 3.17 | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.16 | 3.42 | (1.95) | 6.55 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 1.52 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.10 | (2.86) | 17.53 | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | 0.29 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.59 | (3.21) | 17.54 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 11.45 | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.02) | 3.65 | (2.74) | 10.40 | |
| EAT | Brinker International | (4.10) | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 6.16 | (4.67) | 12.88 | |
| ALH | Alliance Laundry Holdings | 1.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.48 | (3.37) | 10.38 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.87 | (4.81) | 13.84 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | (0.01) | 12 per month | 0.46 | 0.12 | 2.13 | (1.31) | 19.98 | |
| MTH | Meritage | (2.35) | 10 per month | 1.96 | (0.01) | 3.46 | (2.97) | 13.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crocs
For every potential investor in Crocs, whether a beginner or expert, Crocs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crocs Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crocs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crocs' price trends.Crocs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crocs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crocs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crocs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crocs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crocs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crocs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crocs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crocs Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Crocs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crocs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crocs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crocs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crocs
The number of cover stories for Crocs depends on current market conditions and Crocs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crocs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crocs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crocs Short Properties
Crocs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Crocs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crocs Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crocs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crocs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 180.5 M |
Additional Tools for Crocs Stock Analysis
When running Crocs' price analysis, check to measure Crocs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crocs is operating at the current time. Most of Crocs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crocs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crocs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crocs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.