Graphic Packaging Holding Stock Price Prediction
| GPK Stock | USD 29.60 0.32 1.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.68 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5241 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6868 | Wall Street Target Price 32.5273 |
Using Graphic Packaging hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Graphic Packaging Holding from the perspective of Graphic Packaging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Graphic Packaging Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Graphic Packaging's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Graphic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Graphic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Graphic Packaging Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Graphic Packaging's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Graphic Packaging.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Graphic Packaging to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Graphic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Graphic Packaging after-hype prediction price | USD 29.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Graphic Packaging After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Graphic Packaging at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Graphic Packaging or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Graphic Packaging, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Graphic Packaging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Graphic Packaging's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Graphic Packaging's historical news coverage. Graphic Packaging's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.77 and 30.79, respectively. We have considered Graphic Packaging's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Graphic Packaging is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Graphic Packaging Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Graphic Packaging Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Graphic Packaging is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graphic Packaging backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Graphic Packaging, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.60 | 29.28 | 0.00 |
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Graphic Packaging Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Graphic Packaging Holding is traded for 29.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Graphic is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Graphic Packaging is about 2763.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.60. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Graphic Packaging was currently reported as 10.03. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Graphic Packaging Holding last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The entity had 9:5 split on the 3rd of January 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Graphic Packaging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Graphic Packaging Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Graphic Packaging's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Graphic Packaging's future price movements. Getting to know how Graphic Packaging's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Graphic Packaging may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IP | International Paper | 0.29 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.11 | 2.53 | (2.23) | 15.04 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.67 | (1.65) | 4.84 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.65) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.92 | (2.19) | 8.89 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.69 | (1.74) | 9.98 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.95 | (0.06) | 1.47 | (1.80) | 6.39 | |
| MYE | Myers Industries | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.00 | (4.02) | 11.90 | |
| KRT | Karat Packaging | 1.08 | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.11 | 3.51 | (1.89) | 11.75 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.66 | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.04 | 1.74 | (1.57) | 5.37 |
Graphic Packaging Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Graphic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graphic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graphic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Graphic Packaging Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Graphic Packaging stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Graphic Packaging Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graphic Packaging based on analysis of Graphic Packaging hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Graphic Packaging's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Graphic Packaging's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0159 | 0.0134 | 0.0307 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.81 | 0.73 | 0.42 |
Story Coverage note for Graphic Packaging
The number of cover stories for Graphic Packaging depends on current market conditions and Graphic Packaging's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Graphic Packaging is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Graphic Packaging's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Graphic Packaging Short Properties
Graphic Packaging's future price predictability will typically decrease when Graphic Packaging's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Graphic Packaging Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Graphic Packaging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graphic Packaging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 306.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 162 M |
Check out Graphic Packaging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graphic Packaging. If investors know Graphic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graphic Packaging listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 2.34 | Revenue Per Share 29.325 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Graphic Packaging Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graphic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graphic Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graphic Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graphic Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graphic Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graphic Packaging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.