CSW Industrials Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CSW Stock | 296.20 2.67 0.91% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CSW Industrials on the next trading day is expected to be 278.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 329.17. CSW Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of CSW Industrials' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CSW Industrials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSW Industrials from the perspective of CSW Industrials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CSW Industrials using CSW Industrials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CSW using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CSW Industrials' stock price.
CSW Industrials Short Interest
An investor who is long CSW Industrials may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CSW Industrials and may potentially protect profits, hedge CSW Industrials with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
CSW Industrials Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CSW Industrials' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CSW. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CSW can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CSW Industrials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CSW Industrials' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CSW Industrials.
CSW Industrials Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
CSW Industrials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CSW Industrials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CSW Industrials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CSW Industrials stock will not fluctuate a lot when CSW Industrials' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CSW Industrials on the next trading day is expected to be 278.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 329.17. CSW Industrials after-hype prediction price | USD 295.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CSW Industrials to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 CSW Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CSW Industrials' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CSW Industrials' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CSW Industrials stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CSW Industrials' open interest, investors have to compare it to CSW Industrials' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CSW Industrials is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CSW. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CSW Industrials Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CSW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSW using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the CSW Industrials' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2014-06-30 | Previous Quarter 38 M | Current Value 31.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 57 M |
CSW Industrials Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CSW Industrials on the next trading day is expected to be 278.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.40, mean absolute percentage error of 47.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 329.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSW Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CSW Industrials' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CSW Industrials Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CSW Industrials | CSW Industrials Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CSW Industrials Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CSW Industrials' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CSW Industrials' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 276.17 and 280.70, respectively. We have considered CSW Industrials' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CSW Industrials stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CSW Industrials stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.9807 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.3962 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 329.1701 |
Predictive Modules for CSW Industrials
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSW Industrials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CSW Industrials' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for CSW Industrials
For every potential investor in CSW, whether a beginner or expert, CSW Industrials' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CSW Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CSW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CSW Industrials' price trends.CSW Industrials Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CSW Industrials stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CSW Industrials could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSW Industrials by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CSW Industrials Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CSW Industrials' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CSW Industrials' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CSW Industrials Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CSW Industrials stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CSW Industrials shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CSW Industrials stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CSW Industrials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CSW Industrials Risk Indicators
The analysis of CSW Industrials' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CSW Industrials' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting csw stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Variance | 5.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Tools for CSW Stock Analysis
When running CSW Industrials' price analysis, check to measure CSW Industrials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSW Industrials is operating at the current time. Most of CSW Industrials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSW Industrials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSW Industrials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSW Industrials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.