Cintas Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CTAS Stock | USD 192.96 2.45 1.25% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cintas on the next trading day is expected to be 195.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.98. Cintas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Cintas' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.11 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.8775 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.3995 | Wall Street Target Price 216.7778 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.1945 |
Using Cintas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cintas from the perspective of Cintas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cintas using Cintas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cintas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cintas' stock price.
Cintas Short Interest
An investor who is long Cintas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cintas and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cintas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 204.6759 | Short Percent 0.0211 | Short Ratio 3.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.2 M | 50 Day MA 187.7796 |
Cintas Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cintas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cintas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cintas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cintas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cintas Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Cintas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cintas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cintas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cintas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cintas' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cintas on the next trading day is expected to be 195.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.98.
Cintas after-hype prediction price | USD 193.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cintas to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cintas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cintas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cintas trading at USD 192.96, that is roughly USD 0.0482 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cintas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cintas options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cintas Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cintas' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cintas' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cintas stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cintas' open interest, investors have to compare it to Cintas' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cintas is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cintas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cintas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cintas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cintas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cintas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Cintas' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-05-31 | Previous Quarter 138.1 M | Current Value 200.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 156.3 M |
Cintas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cintas on the next trading day is expected to be 195.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67, mean absolute percentage error of 4.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cintas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cintas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cintas Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cintas | Cintas Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cintas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cintas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cintas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 194.28 and 196.34, respectively. We have considered Cintas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cintas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cintas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.531 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6718 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0089 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 101.9818 |
Predictive Modules for Cintas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cintas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cintas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cintas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cintas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cintas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cintas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cintas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cintas' historical news coverage. Cintas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 192.42 and 194.46, respectively. We have considered Cintas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cintas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cintas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cintas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cintas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cintas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cintas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.03 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
192.96 | 193.44 | 0.16 |
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Cintas Hype Timeline
Cintas is currently traded for 192.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Cintas is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 193.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 23.52%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Cintas is about 25.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 193.16. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.34 B. Net Income was 1.81 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.42 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cintas to cross-verify your projections.Cintas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cintas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cintas' future price movements. Getting to know how Cintas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cintas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRI | Thomson Reuters | 0.58 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.63 | (3.66) | 7.59 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 0.57 | 7 per month | 1.58 | (0.0007) | 1.94 | (2.08) | 15.08 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | 38.28 | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.07 | 2.16 | (1.73) | 4.99 | |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | (1.34) | 9 per month | 3.42 | 0 | 5.47 | (6.27) | 16.50 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 7.76 | 9 per month | 1.42 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.82) | 6.43 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.09 | 2.36 | (2.84) | 8.01 | |
| WM | Waste Management | 1.31 | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0 | 2.06 | (1.57) | 5.20 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | (0.13) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.76 | (2.05) | 5.63 | |
| UPS | United Parcel Service | (0.51) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.17 | 2.75 | (2.40) | 11.51 | |
| PWR | Quanta Services | (6.02) | 7 per month | 2.61 | 0.02 | 3.37 | (5.43) | 9.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cintas
For every potential investor in Cintas, whether a beginner or expert, Cintas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cintas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cintas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cintas' price trends.Cintas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cintas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cintas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cintas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cintas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cintas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cintas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cintas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cintas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18789.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.94) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 193.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 193.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.45) |
Cintas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cintas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cintas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cintas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8523 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9028 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Variance | 1.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.815 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cintas
The number of cover stories for Cintas depends on current market conditions and Cintas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cintas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cintas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cintas Short Properties
Cintas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cintas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cintas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cintas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cintas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 410.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 264 M |
Additional Tools for Cintas Stock Analysis
When running Cintas' price analysis, check to measure Cintas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cintas is operating at the current time. Most of Cintas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cintas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cintas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cintas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.