Csx Corporation Stock Price Prediction
| CSX Stock | USD 32.86 0.12 0.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.122 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.49 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8476 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1486 | Wall Street Target Price 37.0892 |
Using CSX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSX Corporation from the perspective of CSX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CSX using CSX's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CSX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CSX's stock price.
CSX Short Interest
An investor who is long CSX may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CSX and may potentially protect profits, hedge CSX with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.8548 | Short Percent 0.0174 | Short Ratio 2.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 33.6 M | 50 Day MA 33.6788 |
CSX Corporation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CSX's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CSX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CSX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CSX Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CSX's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CSX.
CSX Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
CSX's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CSX Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CSX's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CSX stock will not fluctuate a lot when CSX's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CSX to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CSX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CSX after-hype prediction price | USD 32.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CSX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CSX Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With CSX trading at USD 32.86, that is roughly USD 0.009653 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CSX's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CSX Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CSX |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CSX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CSX After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CSX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CSX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CSX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CSX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CSX's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CSX's historical news coverage. CSX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.09 and 34.61, respectively. We have considered CSX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CSX is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CSX Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
CSX Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CSX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CSX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.76 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.86 | 32.85 | 0.03 |
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CSX Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January CSX Corporation is traded for 32.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CSX is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on CSX is about 261.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.87. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.17. CSX Corporation last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 29th of June 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out CSX Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CSX Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CSX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CSX's future price movements. Getting to know how CSX's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CSX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNP | Union Pacific | 0.55 | 10 per month | 1.38 | (0.01) | 2.34 | (2.32) | 9.10 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 0.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.86 | (1.92) | 5.43 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | (1.11) | 6 per month | 1.29 | (0.05) | 2.05 | (1.98) | 5.71 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | 2.24 | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.03 | 1.96 | (1.61) | 7.99 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | 0.74 | 9 per month | 1.34 | (0.03) | 2.60 | (2.27) | 13.32 | |
| TRN | Trinity Industries | 0.82 | 11 per month | 1.84 | 0.03 | 2.87 | (2.91) | 14.13 | |
| GBX | Greenbrier Companies | 1.86 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.13 | 4.01 | (2.55) | 20.47 | |
| FSTR | LB Foster | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.08 | 0.17 | 6.37 | (4.12) | 17.99 |
CSX Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CSX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSX using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CSX Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CSX stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CSX Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CSX based on analysis of CSX hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CSX's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CSX's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0129 | 0.0127 | 0.0146 | 0.0228 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.46 | 4.75 | 4.27 | 4.49 |
Story Coverage note for CSX
The number of cover stories for CSX depends on current market conditions and CSX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CSX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CSX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CSX Short Properties
CSX's future price predictability will typically decrease when CSX's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CSX Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CSX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Additional Tools for CSX Stock Analysis
When running CSX's price analysis, check to measure CSX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSX is operating at the current time. Most of CSX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.